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We demonstrate that the forecasting combination puzzle is a consequence of the methodology commonly used to produce forecast combinations. By the combination puzzle, we refer to the empirical finding that predictions formed by combining…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-11 David T. Frazier , Ryan Covey , Gael M. Martin , Donald Poskitt

The advancement of science is inherently dependent on the recombination of existing knowledge, and innovative research typically relies on the atypical recombination of established knoweldge bases. This study introduces a Knowledge…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Liang Guoqiang , Sun Jian , Lin Gege , Zhang Shuo

The problem of identifying common concepts in the sciences and deciding when new ideas have emerged is an open one. Metascience researchers have sought to formalize principles underlying stages in the life-cycle of scientific research,…

Promotional language has been increasingly used to aid the communication of innovative ideas in science. Yet, less is known about its role in the context of technological innovation. Here, we use a validated and domain-diagnosed lexicon of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Bingkun Zhao , Chenwei Zhang , Hao Peng

Novelty, akin to gene mutation in evolution, opens possibilities for scholarly advancement. Although peer review remains the gold standard for evaluating novelty in scholarly communication and resource allocation, the vast volume of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Haining Wang

Novelty attracts attention like popularity. Hence predicting novelty is as important as popularity. Novelty is the side effect of competition and aging in evolving systems. Recent behavior or recent link gain in networks plays an important…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-06-13 Khushnood Abbas

In this paper, we extend some usual techniques of classification resulting from a large-scale data-mining and network approach. This new technology, which in particular is designed to be suitable to big data, is used to construct an open…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-07-05 Antonin Bergeaud , Yoann Potiron , Juste Raimbault

Novelty detection is the unsupervised problem of identifying anomalies in test data which significantly differ from the training set. Novelty detection is one of the classic challenges in Machine Learning and a core component of several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Rémi Domingues

Patent data have long been used for engineering design research because of its large and expanding size, and widely varying massive amount of design information contained in patents. Recent advances in artificial intelligence and data…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Shuo Jiang , Serhad Sarica , Binyang Song , Jie Hu , Jianxi Luo

As international competition intensifies in technologies, nations need to identify key technologies to foster innovation. However, the identification is challenging due to the independent and inherently complex nature of technologies.…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Rintaro Karashima , Hiroyasu Inoue

We introduce a complex systems perspective on innovation in networks in which innovation is conceptualized as a form of creative act associated with the dynamics and evolution of business network. We show how innovation is a form of…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2012-03-08 Ian Wilkinson , Louise Young

In this article, we propose CANDIES (Combined Approach for Novelty Detection in Intelligent Embedded Systems), a new approach to novelty detection in technical systems. We assume that in a technical system several processes interact. If we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-19 Christian Gruhl , Bernhard Sick

This paper presents a general theory that aims at explaining timescales observed empirically in technology transitions and predicting those of future transitions. This framework is used further to derive a theory for exploring the dynamics…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-04-16 Jean-Francois Mercure

Network inference is a rapidly advancing field, with new methods being proposed on a regular basis. Understanding the advantages and limitations of different network inference methods is key to their effective application in different…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2016-09-15 Narsis A. Kiani , Hector Zenil , Jakub Olczak , Jesper Tegnér

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

The question of citation behavior has always intrigued scientists from various disciplines. While general citation patterns have been widely studied in the literature we develop the notion of citation projection graphs by investigating the…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2010-04-21 Xiaolin Shi , Jure Leskovec , Daniel A. McFarland

This paper reports results of a network theory approach to the study of the United States patent system. We model the patent citation network as a discrete time, discrete space stochastic dynamic system. From data on more than 2 million…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Gabor Csardi , Katherine J Strandburg , Laszlo Zalanyi , Jan Tobochnik , Peter Erdi

We analyze a distributed information network in which each node has access to the information contained in a limited set of nodes (its neighborhood) at a given time. A collective computation is carried out in which each node calculates a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-04-18 Antonio Córdoba , Daniel Aguilar-Hidalgo , M. Carmen Lemos

A central question in the era of 'big data' is what to do with the enormous amount of information. One possibility is to characterize it through statistics, e.g., averages, or classify it using machine learning, in order to understand the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-09-12 Anders Høst-Madsen , Elyas Sabeti , Chad Walton

Science has long been viewed as a key driver of economic growth and rising standards of living. Knowledge about how scientific advances support marketplace inventions is therefore essential for understanding the role of science in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-08-10 Yifang Wang , Yifan Qian , Xiaoyu Qi , Nan Cao , Dashun Wang