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It is a well-known rule of thumb that approximations of stochastic partial differential equations have essentially twice the order of weak convergence compared to the corresponding order of strong convergence. This is already known for many…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-28 Annika Lang

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

The multilevel Monte Carlo method is applied to an academic example in the field of electromagnetism. The method exhibits a reduced variance by assigning the samples to multiple models with a varying spatial resolution. For the given…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-09-26 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

While the Quasi-Monte Carlo method of numerical integration achieves smaller integration error than standard Monte Carlo, its use in particle physics phenomenology has been hindered by the abscence of a reliable way to estimate that error.…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 R. H. Kleiss , A. Lazopoulos

In this paper we discuss the possibility of using multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for weak approximation schemes. It turns out that by means of a simple coupling between consecutive time discretisation levels, one can achieve the same…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2014-10-07 Denis Belomestny , Tigran Nagapetyan

The multi-level Monte Carlo method proposed by M. Giles (2008) approximates the expectation of some functionals applied to a stochastic process with optimal order of convergence for the mean-square error. In this paper, a modified…

概率论 · 数学 2023-01-20 Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

In recent years dynamical systems (of deterministic and stochastic nature), describing many models in mathematics, physics, engineering and finances, become more and more complex. Numerical analysis narrowed only to deterministic algorithms…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-13 Paweł Przybyłowicz

The order of convergence of the Monte Carlo method is 1/2 which means that we need quadruple samples to decrease the error in half in the numerical simulation. Multilevel Monte Carlo methods reach the same order of error by spending less…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-02-27 Myoungnyoun Kim , Imbo Sim

The efficient simulation of the mean value of a non-linear functional of the solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive Gaussian noise is considered. A Galerkin finite element method is employed along…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-25 Andreas Petersson

We consider the numerical approximation of $\mathbb{P}[G\in \Omega]$ where the $d$-dimensional random variable $G$ cannot be sampled directly, but there is a hierarchy of increasingly accurate approximations $\{G_\ell\}_{\ell\in\mathbb{N}}$…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-21 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence , Aretha Teckentrup

Multilevel sampling methods, such as multilevel and multifidelity Monte Carlo, multilevel stochastic collocation, or delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo, have become standard uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools for a wide class of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-01 Josef Martínek , Erin Carson , Robert Scheichl

In this paper, we investigate the properties of standard and multilevel Monte Carlo methods for weak approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by the infinite-dimensional Wiener process and Poisson random…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-03-05 Michał Sobieraj

Simulation studies are used to evaluate and compare the properties of statistical methods in controlled experimental settings. In most cases, performing a simulation study requires knowledge of the true value of the parameter, or estimand,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Ashley I. Naimi , David Benkeser , Jacqueline E. Rudolph

The problem of computing the conditional expectation E[f (Y)|X] with least-square Monte-Carlo is of general importance and has been widely studied. To solve this problem, it is usually assumed that one has as many samples of Y as of X.…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-16 Aurélien Alfonsi , Bernard Lapeyre , Jérôme Lelong

Multilevel Monte Carlo is a key tool for approximating integrals involving expensive scientific models. The idea is to use approximations of the integrand to construct an estimator with improved accuracy over classical Monte Carlo. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-15 Kaiyu Li , Daniel Giles , Toni Karvonen , Serge Guillas , François-Xavier Briol

A method is presented to tackle the sign problem in the simulations of systems having indefinite or complex-valued measures. In general, this new approach is shown to yield statistical errors smaller than the crude Monte Carlo using…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2008-11-26 T D Kieu , C J Griffin

In this article we consider the approximation of expectations w.r.t. probability distributions associated to the solution of partial differential equations (PDEs); this scenario appears routinely in Bayesian inverse problems. In practice,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Raul Tempone , Yan Zhou

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo simulation method for analysing multi-scale physical systems via a hierarchy of coarse-grained representations, to obtain numerically-exact results, at the most detailed level. We apply the method to a…

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps
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