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We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

Many works have developed no-regret algorithms for contextual bandits with function approximation, where the mean reward function over context-action pairs belongs to a function class. Although there are many approaches to this problem, one…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Aldo Pacchiano

This paper addresses the problem of estimating a convex regression function under both the sup-norm risk and the pointwise risk using B-splines. The presence of the convex constraint complicates various issues in asymptotic analysis,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-02 Xiao Wang , Jinglai Shen

Geometrically convex functions constitute an interesting class of functions obtained by replacing the arithmetic mean with the geometric mean in the definition of convexity. As recently suggested, geometric convexity may be a sensible…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-12 Mücahit Aygün , Fabio Bellini , Roger J. A. Laeven

Convex regression is a method for estimating the convex function from a data set. This method has played an important role in operations research, economics, machine learning, and many other areas. However, it has been empirically observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Zhiqiang Liao , Sheng Dai , Eunji Lim , Timo Kuosmanen

We derive optimal statistical and computational complexity bounds for exp-concave stochastic minimization in terms of the effective dimension. For common eigendecay patterns of the population covariance matrix, this quantity is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-24 Naman Agarwal , Alon Gonen

We investigate the stochastic optimization problem of minimizing population risk, where the loss defining the risk is assumed to be weakly convex. Compositions of Lipschitz convex functions with smooth maps are the primary examples of such…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-12-19 Damek Davis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

Machine learning algorithms in high-dimensional settings are highly susceptible to the influence of even a small fraction of structured outliers, making robust optimization techniques essential. In particular, within the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Changyu Gao , Andrew Lowy , Xingyu Zhou , Stephen J. Wright

This paper describes a method to estimate a production frontier that satisfies the axioms of monotonicity and concavity in a non-parametric Bayesian setting. An inefficiency term that allows for significant departure from prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-08 José Luis Preciado Arreola , Andrew L. Johnson

Optimization of conditional convex risk measure is a central theme in dynamic portfolio selection theory, which has not yet systematically studied in the previous literature perhaps since conditional convex risk measures are neither random…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-24 Tiexin Guo

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Given noisy data, function estimation is considered when the unknown function is known a priori to consist of a small number of regions where the function is either convex or concave. When the number of regions is unknown, the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Kurt S. Riedel

This article presents a new method for computing guaranteed convex and concave relaxations of nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems with final-time expected-value cost functions. This method is motivated by similar methods for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-27 Yuanxun Shao , Dillard Robertson , Joseph Kirk Scott

Counterfactual explanations indicate the smallest change in input that can translate to a different outcome for a machine learning model. Counterfactuals have generated immense interest in high-stakes applications such as finance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Erfaun Noorani , Pasan Dissanayake , Faisal Hamman , Sanghamitra Dutta

This paper is mainly a survey of recent research developments regarding methods for risk minimization in financial markets modeled by It\^o-L\'evy processes, but it also contains some new results on the underlying stochastic maximum…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-04-11 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem

We consider the linear regression model with observation error in the design. In this setting, we allow the number of covariates to be much larger than the sample size. Several new estimation methods have been recently introduced for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-05 Alexandre Belloni , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Alexandre Tsybakov

We propose a new risk-constrained formulation of the classical Linear Quadratic (LQ) stochastic control problem for general partially-observed systems. Our framework is motivated by the fact that the risk-neutral LQ controllers, although…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-15 Anastasios Tsiamis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Alejandro Ribeiro , George J. Pappas

In this paper, I show that classic two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates are highly unstable with weak instruments. I propose a ridge estimator (ridge IV) and show that it is asymptotically normal even with weak instruments, whereas 2SLS…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-04-19 Karthik Rajkumar

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson