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While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

We introduce a class of algorithms, termed proximal interacting particle Langevin algorithms (PIPLA), for inference and learning in latent variable models whose joint probability density is non-differentiable. Leveraging proximal Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Paula Cordero Encinar , Francesca R. Crucinio , O. Deniz Akyildiz

Sparse functional data frequently arise in real-world applications, posing significant challenges for accurate classification. To address this, we propose a novel classification method that integrates functional principal component analysis…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-17 Ahmad Talafha

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now a well established method for performing approximate Bayesian parameter estimation for simulation-based models that do not possess a tractable likelihood function. BSL approximates an intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-10-04 Ziwen An , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the recently introduced foundational framework of BPS to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Kenichiro McAlinn , Knut Are Aastveit , Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

This paper reviews recent developments in statistical structure learning; namely, Bayesian model reduction. Bayesian model reduction is a method for rapidly computing the evidence and parameters of probabilistic models that differ only in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Karl Friston , Thomas Parr , Peter Zeidman

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

We discuss and develop Bayesian dynamic modelling and predictive decision synthesis for portfolio analysis. The context involves model uncertainty with a set of candidate models for financial time series with main foci in sequential…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-05-06 Emily Tallman , Mike West

This paper studies prediction with multiple candidate models, where the goal is to combine their outputs. This task is especially challenging in heterogeneous settings, where different models may be better suited to different inputs. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

The Bayesian Lasso is constructed in the linear regression framework and applies the Gibbs sampling to estimate the regression parameters. This paper develops a new sparse learning model, named the Bayesian Lasso Sparse (BLS) model, that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Ingvild M. Helgøy , Yushu Li

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

A software library for constructing and learning probabilistic models is presented. The library offers a set of building blocks from which a large variety of static and dynamic models can be built. These include hierarchical models for…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Markus Harva , Tapani Raiko , Antti Honkela , Harri Valpola , Juha Karhunen

The recent development of more sophisticated spectroscopic methods allows acqui- sition of high dimensional datasets from which valuable information may be extracted using multivariate statistical analyses, such as dimensionality reduction…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Mario Fordellone , Andrea Bellincontro , Fabio Mencarelli

Several recent works have developed a new, probabilistic interpretation for numerical algorithms solving linear systems in which the solution is inferred in a Bayesian framework, either directly or by inferring the unknown action of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Simon Bartels , Jon Cockayne , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Philipp Hennig

We propose a Bayesian approach to learn discriminative dictionaries for sparse representation of data. The proposed approach infers probability distributions over the atoms of a discriminative dictionary using a Beta Process. It also…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-03-30 Naveed Akhtar , Faisal Shafait , Ajmal Mian