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We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

Knowledge graphs are useful for many artificial intelligence tasks but often have missing data. Hence, a method for completing knowledge graphs is required. Existing approaches include embedding models, the Path Ranking Algorithm, and rule…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-09-11 Takuma Ebisu , Ryutaro Ichise

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

We propose an approach to estimate the effect of multiple simultaneous interventions in the presence of hidden confounders. To overcome the problem of hidden confounding, we consider the setting where we have access to not only the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Ricardo Silva

Topology identification and inference of processes evolving over graphs arise in timely applications involving brain, transportation, financial, power, as well as social and information networks. This chapter provides an overview of graph…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-12 Gonzalo Mateos , Yanning Shen , Georgios B. Giannakis , Ananthram Swami

On time-series data, most causal discovery methods fit a new model whenever they encounter samples from a new underlying causal graph. However, these samples often share relevant information which is lost when following this approach.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Sindy Löwe , David Madras , Richard Zemel , Max Welling

We consider a model identification problem in which an outcome variable contains nonignorable missing values. Statistical inference requires a guarantee of the model identifiability to obtain estimators enjoying theoretically reasonable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-06 Kenji Beppu , Kosuke Morikawa

We propose a technique for increasing the efficiency of gradient-based inference and learning in Bayesian networks with multiple layers of continuous latent vari- ables. We show that, in many cases, it is possible to express such models in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-05 Diederik P Kingma

Data augmentation integrates domain knowledge into a dataset by making domain-informed modifications to existing data points. For example, image data can be augmented by duplicating images in different tints or orientations, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Mateusz Gajewski , Sophia Xiao , Bijan Mazaheri

Measurement error is ubiquitous in many variables - from blood pressure recordings in physiology to intelligence measures in psychology. Structural equation models (SEMs) account for the process of measurement by explicitly distinguishing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-28 Ankur Ankan , Inge Wortel , Kenneth A. Bollen , Johannes Textor

Causal discovery from observational data holds great promise, but existing methods rely on strong assumptions about the underlying causal structure, often requiring full observability of all relevant variables. We tackle these challenges by…

This paper proposes a Vector Autoregression augmented with nonlinear factors that are modeled nonparametrically using regression trees. There are four main advantages of our model. First, modeling potential nonlinearities nonparametrically…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-20 Todd Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

We study the problem of experiment design to learn causal structures from interventional data. We consider an active learning setting in which the experimenter decides to intervene on one of the variables in the system in each step and uses…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Amir Amirinezhad , Saber Salehkaleybar , Matin Hashemi

Identifiability of parameters is an essential property for a statistical model to be useful in most settings. However, establishing parameter identifiability for Bayesian networks with hidden variables remains challenging. In the context of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-04 Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes , Elena Stanghellini , Marco Valtorta

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Konstantin Göbler , Tobias Windisch , Mathias Drton

Identifiability concerns finding which unknown parameters of a model can be estimated from given input-output data. If some subset of the parameters of a model cannot be determined given input-output data, then we say the model is…

代数几何 · 数学 2014-11-03 Nicolette Meshkat , Seth Sullivant , Marisa Eisenberg

Linear causal models are important tools for modeling causal dependencies and yet in practice, only a subset of the variables can be observed. In this paper, we examine the parameter identifiability of these models by investigating whether…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Xinshuai Dong , Ignavier Ng , Biwei Huang , Yuewen Sun , Songyao Jin , Roberto Legaspi , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

We introduce a nonparametric graphical model for discrete node variables based on additive conditional independence. Additive conditional independence is a three way statistical relation that shares similar properties with conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Jun Tao , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

This paper presents a method for investigating, through an automatic procedure, the (lack of) identifiability of parametrized dynamical models. This method takes into account constraints on parameters and returns parameters whose…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-10-11 Nathalie Verdière , Sébastien Orange