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Hierarchical Bayesian models are increasingly used in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems by modeling parameters as draws from a hyperparameter-governed distribution. However, theoretical guarantees for these estimates as…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Yi Yu , Yubo Hou , Yinchong Wang , Nan Zhang , Jianfeng Feng , Wenlian Lu

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Bayesian nonparametrics are a class of probabilistic models in which the model size is inferred from data. A recently developed methodology in this field is small-variance asymptotic analysis, a mathematical technique for deriving learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-27 Trevor Campbell , Brian Kulis , Jonathan How

Inference of the marginal probability distribution is defined as the calculation of the probability of a subset of the variables and is relevant for handling missing data and hidden variables. While inference of the marginal probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-22 Fritz M. Bayer , Giusi Moffa , Niko Beerenwinkel , Jack Kuipers

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

We consider the problem of distributed learning, where a network of agents collectively aim to agree on a hypothesis that best explains a set of distributed observations of conditionally independent random processes. We propose a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-12 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César A. Uribe

We introduce semiparametric Bayesian networks that combine parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Their aim is to incorporate the advantages of both components: the bounded complexity of parametric models and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-08 David Atienza , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Variable selection and classification are common objectives in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Most such methods make distributional assumptions that may not be compatible with the diverse families of distributions data can take. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , Lamiae Azizi , John T. Ormerod

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

Making inferences from data streams is a pervasive problem in many modern data analysis applications. But it requires to address the problem of continuous model updating and adapt to changes or drifts in the underlying data generating…

The predictive Bayesian view involves eliciting a sequence of one-step-ahead predictive distributions in lieu of specifying a likelihood function and prior distribution. Recent methods have leveraged predictive distributions which are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Yiu Yin Yung , Stephen M. S. Lee , Edwin Fong

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Bayesian approaches for learning deep neural networks (BNN) have been received much attention and successfully applied to various applications. Particularly, BNNs have the merit of having better generalization ability as well as better…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Gyuseung Baek , Yongdai Kim

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Univariate or multivariate ordinal responses are often assumed to arise from a latent continuous parametric distribution, with covariate effects which enter linearly. We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-21 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

The pattern matching problem with swaps is to find all occurrences of a pattern in a text while allowing the pattern to swap adjacent symbols. The goal is to design fast matching algorithm that takes advantage of the bit parallelism of…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-09-26 Václav Blažej , Ondřej Suchý , Tomáš Valla

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

Posterior distributions arising in ill-posed Bayesian inverse problems are often both analytically intractable and highly sensitive to parameters of the chosen prior family. We aim to understand the sensitivity of intractable posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-20 Yucong Liu , Zilai Si , Alexander Strang

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson