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This paper presents a novel semiparametric method to study the effects of extreme events on binary outcomes and subsequently forecast future outcomes. Our approach, based on Bayes' theorem and regularly varying (RV) functions, facilitates a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Laura Liu , Yulong Wang

The tracking method based on the extreme learning machine (ELM) is efficient and effective. ELM randomly generates input weights and biases in the hidden layer, and then calculates and computes the output weights by reducing the iterative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-27 Jing Zhang , Huibing Wang , Yonggong Ren

This study develops a real-time framework for estimating the risk of near-misses by using high-fidelity two-dimensional (2D) risk indicator time-to-collision (TTC), which is calculated from high-resolution data collected by autonomous…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Mohammad Anis , Sixu Li , Srinivas R. Geedipally , Yang Zhou , Dominique Lord

Ultra-reliable low-latency communications (URLLC) require innovative approaches to modeling channel and interference dynamics, extending beyond traditional average estimates to encompass entire statistical distributions, including rare and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-22 Fateme Salehi , Aamir Mahmood , Sinem Coleri , Mikael Gidlund

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

It is often desirable to be able to recognize when inputs to a recognition function learned in a supervised manner correspond to classes unseen at training time. With this ability, new class labels could be assigned to these inputs by a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 Ethan M. Rudd , Lalit P. Jain , Walter J. Scheirer , Terrance E. Boult

Many real-world monitoring and surveillance applications require non-trivial anomaly detection to be run in the streaming model. We consider an incremental-learning approach, wherein a deep-autoencoding (DAE) model of what is normal is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-12-11 Albert Akhriev , Jakub Marecek

Extreme value theory (EVT) is well suited to model extreme events, such as floods, heatwaves, or mechanical failures, which is required for reliability assessment of systems across multiple domains for risk management and loss prevention.…

We develop an end-to-end deep learning-based anomaly detection model for temporal data in transportation networks. The proposed EVT-LSTM model is derived from the popular LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) network and adopts an objective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-21 Neema Davis , Gaurav Raina , Krishna Jagannathan

Estimating the probabilistic Worst-Case Execution Time (pWCET) is essential for ensuring the timing correctness of real-time applications, such as in robot IoT systems and autonomous driving systems. While methods based on Extreme Value…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Hayate Toba , Atsushi Yano , Takuya Azumi

We consider the problem of evaluating risk for a system that is modeled by a complex stochastic simulation with many possible input parameter values. Two sources of computational burden can be identified: the effort associated with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Armin Khayyer , Alexander Vinel , Joseph J. Kennedy

A clear need for automatic anomaly detection applied to automotive testing has emerged as more and more attention is paid to the data recorded and manual evaluation by humans reaches its capacity. Such real-world data is massive, diverse,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Philipp Klein , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova

The detection of rare variants is important for understanding the genetic heterogeneity in mixed samples. Recently, next-generation sequencing (NGS) technologies have enabled the identification of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in mixed…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2016-04-25 Fan Zhang , Patrick Flaherty

Neural networks are able to approximate any continuous function on a compact set. However, it is not obvious how to quantify the error of the neural network, i.e., the remaining bias between the function and the neural network. Here, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Gero Junike , Marco Oesting

Reliable and cost-effective maintenance is essential for railway safety, particularly at the wheel-rail interface, which is prone to wear and failure. Predictive maintenance frameworks increasingly leverage sensor-generated time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Afonso Lourenço , Francisca Osório , Diogo Risca , Goreti Marreiros

Recent advancements in cognitive computing, with the integration of deep learning techniques, have facilitated the development of intelligent cognitive systems (ICS). This is particularly beneficial in the context of rail defect detection,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Rahatara Ferdousi , Chunsheng Yang , M. Anwar Hossain , Fedwa Laamarti , M. Shamim Hossain , Abdulmotaleb El Saddik

This paper presents an extremum seeking control algorithm with an adaptive step-size that adjusts the aggressiveness of the controller based on the quality of the gradient estimate. The adaptive step-size ensures that the integral-action…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-21 Claus Danielson , Scott A. Bortoff , Ankush Chakrabarty

The widespread use of machine learning algorithms calls for automatic change detection algorithms to monitor their behavior over time. As a machine learning algorithm learns from a continuous, possibly evolving, stream of data, it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Lang Liu , Joseph Salmon , Zaid Harchaoui

Generalized extreme value (GEV) regression is often more adapted when we investigate a relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ which represents a rare event and potentiel predictors $\mathbf{X}$. In particular, we use the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme

Conventional methods for extreme event estimation rely on well-chosen parametric models asymptotically justified from extreme value theory (EVT). These methods, while powerful and theoretically grounded, could however encounter a difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Yuanlu Bai , Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang