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Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson

While several methods for predicting uncertainty on deep networks have been recently proposed, they do not readily translate to large and complex datasets. In this paper we utilize a simplified form of the Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-05 Nicholas Wilkins , Michael Johnson , Ifeoma Nwogu

A key factor for ensuring safety in Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) is to avoid any abnormal behaviors under undesirable and unpredicted circumstances. As AVs increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to perform safety-critical tasks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

This paper addresses robust waveform design for multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) radar detection. A probabilistic model is proposed to describe the target uncertainty. Considering that waveform design based on maximizing the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-12 Xuyang Wang , Bo Tang , Ming Zhang

This paper studies the problem of post-hoc calibration of machine learning classifiers. We introduce the following desiderata for uncertainty calibration: (a) accuracy-preserving, (b) data-efficient, and (c) high expressive power. We show…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-01 Jize Zhang , Bhavya Kailkhura , T. Yong-Jin Han

The effect of uncertainties and noise on a quantity of interest (model output) is often better described by its probability density function (PDF) than by its moments. Although density estimation is a common task, the adequacy of…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-21 Adi Ditkowski , Gadi Fibich , Amir Sagiv

Models trained on different datasets can be merged by a weighted-averaging of their parameters, but why does it work and when can it fail? Here, we connect the inaccuracy of weighted-averaging to mismatches in the gradients and propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Nico Daheim , Thomas Möllenhoff , Edoardo Maria Ponti , Iryna Gurevych , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Machine learning techniques are becoming an integral component of data analysis in High Energy Physics (HEP). These tools provide a significant improvement in sensitivity over traditional analyses by exploiting subtle patterns in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-10-04 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Daniel Whiteson

Fitting models to data is an important part of the practice of science. Advances in machine learning have made it possible to fit more -- and more complex -- models, but have also exacerbated a problem: when multiple models fit the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Alexandre René , André Longtin

Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-15 Hany Abdulsamad , Tim Dorau , Boris Belousov , Jia-Jie Zhu , Jan Peters

We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

To achieve high performance of a machine learning (ML) task, a deep learning-based model must implicitly capture the entire distribution from data. Thus, it requires a huge amount of training samples, and data are expected to fully present…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Hung Nguyen , Morris Chang

The thermodynamic uncertainty relation provides an inequality relating any mean current, the associated dispersion and the entropy production rate for arbitrary non-equilibrium steady states. Applying it here to a general model of a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-01-05 Patrick Pietzonka , Andre C. Barato , Udo Seifert

We formulate an optimization problem to estimate probability densities in the context of multidimensional problems that are sampled with uneven probability. It considers detector sensitivity as an heterogeneous density and takes advantage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Aleix Boquet-Pujadas , Pol del Aguila Pla , Michael Unser

Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

We develop both first and second order numerical optimization methods to solve non-smooth optimization problems featuring a shared sparsity penalty, constrained by differential equations with uncertainty. To alleviate the curse of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-18 Harbir Antil , Sergey Dolgov , Akwum Onwunta

A density-based topology optimization framework is developed to manipulate characteristic modes of conducting surfaces. The adjoint sensitivity analysis provides an efficient computation of the material gradient utilized by the local…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-07 Jonas Tucek , Miloslav Capek , Lukas Jelinek

Machine learning is used to approximate density functionals. For the model problem of the kinetic energy of non-interacting fermions in 1d, mean absolute errors below 1 kcal/mol on test densities similar to the training set are reached with…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-03 John C. Snyder , Matthias Rupp , Katja Hansen , Klaus-Robert Müller , Kieron Burke

The stochastic finite volume method offers an efficient one-pass approach for assessing uncertainty in hyperbolic conservation laws. Still, it struggles with the curse of dimensionality when dealing with multiple stochastic variables. We…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-11 Steven Walton , Svetlana Tokareva , Gianmarco Manzini
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