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We consider a family of multivariate distributions with heavy-tailed margins and the type I elliptical dependence structure. This class of risks is common in finance, insurance, environmental and biostatistic applications. We obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-01 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

Multivariate generalized Pareto distributions arise as the limit distributions of exceedances over multivariate thresholds of random vectors in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution. These distributions can be parametrized…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-24 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We characterize a comprehensive family of $d$-variate exogenous shock models. Analytically, we consider a family of multivariate distribution functions that arises from ordering, idiosyncratically distorting, and finally multiplying the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-08 Jan-Frederik Mai , Steffen Schenk , Matthias Scherer

We review the recently introduced concept of variety of a financial portfolio and we sketch its importance for risk control purposes. The empirical behaviour of variety, correlation, exceedance correlation and asymmetry of the probability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

A random variable is equi-dispersed if its mean equals its variance. A Poisson distribution is a classical example of this phenomenon. However, a less well-known fact is that the class of normal densities that are equi-dispersed constitutes…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-07 Barry C. Arnold , B. G. Manjunath

Bayesian posterior distributions are widely used for inference, but their dependence on a statistical model creates some challenges. In particular, there may be lots of nuisance parameters that require prior distributions and posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-12 Nicholas Syring , Ryan Martin

We study shrinkage estimation of the mean parameters of a class of multivariate distributions for which the diagonal entries of the corresponding covariance matrix are certain quadratic functions of the mean parameter. This class of…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Nikolas Siapoutis , Donald Richards , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

We extend a recently established asymptotic normality theorem for generalized linear mixed models to include the dispersion parameter. The new results show that the maximum likelihood estimators of all model parameters have asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-11 Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-28 David I. Inouye , Eunho Yang , Genevera I. Allen , Pradeep Ravikumar

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In this paper, we generalise the results presented in the literature for the ruin probability for the insurer--reinsurer model under a pro-rata reinsurance contract. We consider claim amounts that are described by a phase-type distribution…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-15 Krzysztof Burnecki , Zbigniew Palmowski , Marek Teuerle , Aleksandra Wilkowska

In this short note the theory for multivariate asset allocation with elliptically symmetric distributions of returns, as developed in the author's prior work, is specialized to the case of returns drawn from a multivariate Laplace…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-15 Graham L. Giller

This paper studies proportional risk sharing at claim occurrence time in community-based insurance. Each participant is modeled by an individual Cram\'er-Lundberg surplus process, and, whenever a claim is reported within the pool, its cost…

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Multimodal distributions of some physics based model parameters are often encountered in engineering due to different situations such as a change in some environmental conditions, and the presence of some types of damage and nonlinearity.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

Multivariate hypergeometric distribution arises frequently in elementary statistics and probability courses, for simultaneously studying the occurence law of specified events, when sampling without replacement from a finite population with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-05 X. G. Duan

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg