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Many traditional methods for identifying changepoints can struggle in the presence of outliers, or when the noise is heavy-tailed. Often they will infer additional changepoints in order to fit the outliers. To overcome this problem, data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-12 Paul Fearnhead , Guillem Rigaill

Detecting multiple change points in functional data sequences has been increasingly popular and critical in various scientific fields. In this article, we propose a novel two-stage framework for detecting multiple change points in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Zhiqing Fang , Xin Liu

Change point detection plays a fundamental role in many real-world applications, where the goal is to analyze and monitor the behaviour of a data stream. In this paper, we study change detection in binary streams. To this end, we use a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Nikolaj Tatti

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

We present tidychangepoint, a new R package for changepoint detection analysis. Most R packages for segmenting univariate time series focus on providing one or two algorithms for changepoint detection that work with a small set of models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Benjamin S. Baumer , Biviana Marcela Suarez Sierra

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Many modern applications require detecting change points in complex sequential data. Most existing methods for change point detection are unsupervised and, as a consequence, lack any information regarding what kind of changes we want to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Nauman Ahad , Eva L. Dyer , Keith B. Hengen , Yao Xie , Mark A. Davenport

In modern business modeling and analytics, data monitoring plays a critical role. Nowadays, sophisticated models often rely on hundreds or even thousands of input variables. Over time, structural changes such as abrupt level shifts or trend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-07 Yingbo Li , Robert Cezeaux , Di Yu

There is increasing interest in identifying changes in the underlying states of brain networks. The availability of large scale neuroimaging data creates a strong need to develop fast, scalable methods for detecting and localizing in time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang

We propose a novel multivariate nonparametric multiple change point detection method using classifiers. We construct a classifier log-likelihood ratio that uses class probability predictions to compare different change point configurations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-16 Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann , Solt Kovács

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand on efficient algorithms for large scale change point detection problems. To this end, we propose seeded binary segmentation, an approach relying on a deterministic construction of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Solt Kovács , Housen Li , Peter Bühlmann , Axel Munk

In this paper, we study the problem of multiple change-point detection for a univariate sequence under the epidemic setting, where the behavior of the sequence alternates between a common normal state and different epidemic states. This is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Zifeng Zhao , Chun Yip Yau

Change point detection algorithms have numerous applications in fields of scientific and economic importance. We consider the problem of change point detection on compositional multivariate data (each sample is a probability mass function),…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Prabuchandran K. J. , Nitin Singh , Pankaj Dayama , Vinayaka Pandit

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While…

机器学习 · 统计学 2007-10-22 Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

Stochastic optimization often involves calculating the expected value of a first-order max or min function, known as a first-order loss function. In this context, loss functions are frequently approximated using piecewise linear functions.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-26 Yotaro Takazawa

We use cutting-edge mixed integer optimization (MIO) methods to develop a framework for detection and estimation of structural breaks in time series regression models. The framework is constructed based on the least squares problem subject…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-12 Artem Prokhorov , Peter Radchenko , Alexander Semenov , Anton Skrobotov