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In this paper, we assess and develop a climate service focused on the production of seasonal predictions for summer wildfires in a Mediterranean region through a participatory approach with end-users. We start by building a data-driven…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-05-06 Marco Turco , Raul Marcos-Matamoros , Xavier Castro , Esteve Canyameras , Maria Carmen Llasat

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

With improved measurement and modelling technology, variability has emerged as an essential feature in non-equilibrium processes. While traditionally, mean values and variance have been heavily used, they are not appropriate in describing…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-02-12 Eun-jin Kim , James Heseltine , Hanli Liu

Early identification of drought stress in crops is vital for implementing effective mitigation measures and reducing yield loss. Non-invasive imaging techniques hold immense potential by capturing subtle physiological changes in plants…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Aswini Kumar Patra , Lingaraj Sahoo

This paper presents a novel quantitative approach for comparative economic studies, addressing limitations in current classification methods. Conventional approaches in comparative economics often rely on ad hoc and categorical…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-24 Ali Zeytoon-Nejad

In this paper, we propose a novel axiomatic approach to evaluating the joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty. Motivated by both the theory of expected utility and the Cobb-Dauglas utility function, we establish…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

Climate science has become more ambitious in recent years as global awareness about the environment has grown. To better understand climate, historical climate (e.g. archived meteorological variables such as temperature, wind, water, etc.)…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2022-10-31 Jiantao Wu , Fabrizio Orlandi , Declan O'Sullivan , Soumyabrata Dev

Understanding how droughts may change in the future is essential for anticipating and mitigating their adverse impacts. However, robust climate projections require large amounts of high-resolution climate simulations, particularly for…

Daily rainfall extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land area over the last decades. These observations are consistent with theoretical considerations of a warming climate. However, until recently these…

Weather conditions can drastically alter the state of crops and rangelands, and in turn, impact the incomes and food security of individuals worldwide. Satellite-based remote sensing offers an effective way to monitor vegetation and climate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Erika McPhillips , Hyeongseong Lee , Xiangyu Xie , Kathy Baylis , Chris Funk , Mengyang Gu

This work is motivated by constructing a weather simulator for precipitation. Temperature and humidity are two of the most important driving forces of precipitation, and the strategy is to have a stochastic model for temperature and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-05-27 Xiangping Hu , Ingelin Steinsland , Daniel Simpson , Sara Martino , Håvard Rue

Over the past three decades, extreme climate events have caused losses of worth USD 4.5 trillion. Using collective bargaining model, I find that the gendered labour supply response to adverse shocks is not straightforward since it depends…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-10 Jheelum Sarkar

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Drought events are the second most expensive type of natural disaster within the French legal framework known as the natural disasters compensation scheme. In recent years, drought events have been remarkable in their geographical scale and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-03-23 Geoffrey Ecoto , Antoine Chambaz

Multivariate time series analysis is a vital but challenging task, with multidisciplinary applicability, tackling the characterization of multiple interconnected variables over time and their dependencies. Traditional methodologies often…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Unravelling current complex food systems is relevant for their adjustment and redesign under the current changing climate conditions. Redesign may be necessitated by migration of people and changes of locations of major agri-food…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-15 Erik van der Linden , Marcel Meinders , Egbert H. van Nes , Hugo de Vries

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

There are numerous geo-climatic and human factors that contribute to the occurrence of natural disasters in the real-world scenario. Besides the study of causes and preconditions of such calamities, post-disaster analysis is essential for…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-05-26 Sukeerthi Mandyam , Shanmuga Priya , Shalini Suresh , Kavitha Srinivasan

Fertilization is commonly used to increase harvests. The lack of knowledge of soil properties and the excessive use of fertilizers can result in overfertilization. Current sensor technology is able to measure the concentrations of some of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-13 Patrick Schmidt , Arne-Jens Hempel , Stefan Streif

Accurate stochastic simulations of hourly precipitation are needed for impact studies at local spatial scales. Statistically, hourly precipitation data represent a difficult challenge. They are non-negative, skewed, heavy tailed, contain a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Erwan Koch , Philippe Naveau