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Bayesian hierarchical methods implemented for small area estimation focus on reducing the noise variation in published government official statistics by borrowing information among dependent response values. Even the most flexible models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-05 Terrance D. Savitsky

In this paper we consider the problem of dynamic clustering, where cluster memberships may change over time and clusters may split and merge over time, thus creating new clusters and destroying existing ones. We propose a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-24 Maria De Iorio , Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Lifeng Ye

Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Pavlos Protopapas

In public health management there is a need to produce subnational estimates of health outcomes. Often, however, funds are not available to collect samples large enough to produce traditional survey sample estimates for each subnational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Donald Malec , Peter Müller

Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) provides a method for combining multiple predictive distributions based on agent/expert opinion analysis theory and encompasses a range of existing density forecast pooling methods. The key ingredient in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-22 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Gary Koop , James Mitchell

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

For the last several decades, the US Census Bureau has been using the AK composite estimation method to produce statistics on employment from the Current Population Survey (CPS) data. The CPS uses a rotating design and AK estimators are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-23 Daniel Bonnéry , Yang Cheng , Partha Lahiri

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM) is a popular Bayesian nonparametric model. In this paper, we apply this model to weighted data and then estimate the un-weighted distribution from the corresponding weighted distribution using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-12 Soghra Bohlourihajjar , Soleiman Khazaei

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We consider the estimation of Dirichlet Process Mixture Models (DPMMs) in distributed environments, where data are distributed across multiple computing nodes. A key advantage of Bayesian nonparametric models such as DPMMs is that they…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Ruohui Wang , Dahua Lin

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

This paper proposes a generalization of Gaussian mixture models, where the mixture weight is allowed to behave as an unknown function of time. This model is capable of successfully capturing the features of the data, as demonstrated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-09 Michel H. Montoril , Leandro T. Correia , Helio S. Migon

The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-18 Faicel Chamroukhi , Marius Bartcus , Hervé Glotin

Clustered multistate process data are commonly encountered in multicenter observational studies and clinical trials. A clinically important estimand with such data is the marginal probability of being in a particular transient state as a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Wenxian Zhou , Giorgos Bakoyannis , Ying Zhang , Constantin T Yiannoutsos

This paper reviews background and examples of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS), and develops details in a subset of BPS mixture models. BPS expands on standard Bayesian model uncertainty analysis for model mixing to provide a broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Matthew C. Johnson , Mike West

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

With rapid development of techniques to measure brain activity and structure, statistical methods for analyzing modern brain-imaging play an important role in the advancement of science. Imaging data that measure brain function are usually…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-05 Haoyi Fu , Lu Tang , Ori Rosen , Alison E. Hipwell , Theodore J. Huppert , Robert T. Krafty
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