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We develop and analyze empirical Bayes Stein-type estimators for use in the estimation of causal effects in large-scale online experiments. While online experiments are generally thought to be distinguished by their large sample size, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-15 Drew Dimmery , Eytan Bakshy , Jasjeet Sekhon

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

When estimating area means, direct estimators based on area-specific data, are usually consistent under the sampling design without model assumptions. However, they are inefficient if the area sample size is small. In small area estimation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín

The problem of small area estimation (SAE) is how to produce reliable estimates of characteristics of interest such as means, counts, quantiles, etc., for areas or domains for which only small samples or no samples are available, and how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-21 Danny Pfeffermann

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho

With the rise in popularity of digital Atlases to communicate spatial variation, there is an increasing need for robust small-area estimates. However, current small-area estimation methods suffer from various modeling problems when data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 James Hogg , Jessica Cameron , Susanna Cramb , Peter Baade , Kerrie Mengersen

The problem of estimating a high-dimensional sparse vector $\boldsymbol{\theta} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ from an observation in i.i.d. Gaussian noise is considered. The performance is measured using squared-error loss. An empirical Bayes shrinkage…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-12-31 Pavan Srinath , Ramji Venkataramanan

In this work, inspired by machine learning techniques, we propose a new Bayesian model for Small Area Estimation (SAE), the Fay-Herriot model with Spectral Clustering (FH-SC). Unlike traditional approaches, clustering in FH-SC is based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Jairo Fúquene-Patiño

We consider random forests and LASSO methods for model-based small area estimation when the number of areas with sampled data is a small fraction of the total areas for which estimates are required. Abundant auxiliary information is…

National statistical institutes in many countries are now mandated to produce reliable statistics for important variables such as population, income, unemployment, health outcomes, etc. for small areas, defined by geography and/or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-29 Adrijo Chakraborty , Gauri Sankar Datta , Abhyuday Mandal

It is increasingly being realised that many real world time series are not stationary and exhibit evolving second-order autocovariance or spectral structure. This article introduces a Bayesian approach for modelling the evolving wavelet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-11 Guy P. Nason , Kara N. Stevens

In wavelet shrinkage and thresholding, most of the standard techniques do not consider information that wavelet coefficients might be bounded, although information about bounded energy in signals can be readily available. To address this,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-12 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa , Nancy Lopes Garcia , Branislav Vidakovic

This paper discusses the simultaneous inference of mean parameters in a family of distributions with quadratic variance function. We first introduce a class of semiparametric/parametric shrinkage estimators and establish their asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-31 Xianchao Xie , S. C. Kou , Lawrence Brown

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

There has been recent growth in small area estimation due to the need for more precise estimation of small geographic areas, which has led to groups such as the U.S. Census Bureau, Google, and the RAND corporation utilizing small area…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-17 Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

In this paper we propose a wavelet-based methodology for estimation and variable selection in partially linear models. The inference is conducted in the wavelet domain, which provides a sparse and localized decomposition appropriate for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-26 Norbert Remenyi

Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Shrinkage estimators have profound impacts in statistics and in scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we consider shrinkage estimation in the presence of linear predictors. We formulate two heteroscedastic hierarchical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Samuel Kou , Justin J. Yang

This paper addresses the weak instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models from a Bayesian perspective. The new approach has two components. First, a novel predictor-dependent shrinkage prior is developed for the many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes