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Engineering risk is concerned with the likelihood of failure and the scenarios when it occurs. The sensitivity of failure probability to change in system parameters is relevant to risk-informed decision making. Computing sensitivity is at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Siu-Kui Au , Zi-Jun Cao

The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis. Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-09-29 Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis

Biomechanical models often need to describe very complex systems, organs or diseases, and hence also include a large number of parameters. One of the attractive features of physics-based models is that in those models (most) parameters have…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Barbara Wirthl , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Jonas Nitzler , Bernhard A. Schrefler , Wolfgang A. Wall

The Monte Carlo pathwise sensitivities approach is well established for smooth payoff functions. In this work, we present a new Monte Carlo algorithm that is able to calculate the pathwise sensitivities for discontinuous payoff functions.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-03 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth

The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size ($N$) and sampling ($\varepsilon$) of the model output, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-03 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

Global sensitivity analysis is a set of methods aiming at quantifying the contribution of an uncertain input parameter of the model (or combination of parameters) on the variability of the response. We consider here the estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Viet Chi Tran , Gwenaëlle Castellan , Anthony Cousien , Chi Tran

Quantification of uncertainty is one of the most promising approaches to establish safe machine learning. Despite its importance, it is far from being generally solved, especially for neural networks. One of the most commonly used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-11 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

This paper presents an efficient numerical sensitivity-estimation method and implementation for continuous-gravitational-wave searches, extending and generalizing an earlier analytic approach by Wette [1]. This estimation framework applies…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2018-11-07 Christoph Dreissigacker , Reinhard Prix , Karl Wette

We present a new method for conducting Monte Carlo inference in graphical models which combines explicit search with generalized importance sampling. The idea is to reduce the variance of importance sampling by searching for significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Dale Schuurmans , Finnegan Southey

A new inequality between some functional of probability distribution functions is given. The inequality is based on strict convexity of a function used in functional definition. Equality sign in the inequality gives a characteristic…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-18 Lev B. Klebanov , Irina V. Volchenkova

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the S distribution and introduce new minimum distance estimators for the four parameters of the S distribution using Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von Mises and related distance metrics.…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sergej V. Aksenov , Michael A. Savageau

We study the Edwards-Anderson model on a simple cubic lattice with a finite constant external field. We employ an indicator composed of a ratio of susceptibilities at finite wavenumbers, which was recently proposed to avoid the difficulties…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-03-19 Sheng Feng , Ye Fang , Ka-Ming Tam , Zhifeng Yun , J. Ramanujam , Juana Moreno , Mark Jarrell

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

In this paper, we present the results of Monte Carlo simulations for two popular techniques of long-range correlations detection - classical and modified rescaled range analyses. A focus is put on an effect of different distributional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2012-05-24 Ladislav Kristoufek

This paper presents a new approach for filter design based on stochastic distances and tests between distributions. A window is defined around each pixel, overlapping samples are compared and only those which pass a goodness-of-fit test are…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-08-30 Leonardo Torres , Tamer Cavalcante , Alejandro C. Frery

A wide array of graphical models can be parametrised to have atomic probabilities represented by monomial functions. Such monomial structure has proven very useful when studying robustness under the assumption of a multilinear model where…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-09 Manuele Leonelli

We introduce a new global sensitivity measure, the global activity scores. The measure is based on finite differences of the underlying function, in contrast to several sensitivity measures in the literature that are based on derivatives of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-08 Ruilong Yue , Giray Ökten

Monte Carlo sampling has become a major vehicle for approximate inference in Bayesian networks. In this paper, we investigate a family of related simulation approaches, known collectively as quasi-Monte Carlo methods based on deterministic…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Jian Cheng , Marek J. Druzdzel

This article proposes a new index for quantifying the degree of dependence between random vectors. The index takes values in [0,1] and equals zero if and only if the random vectors are sub-independent. Unlike mere uncorrelatedness,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-19 Chuancun yin

Sensitivity conjecture is a longstanding and fundamental open problem in the area of complexity measures of Boolean functions and decision tree complexity. The conjecture postulates that the maximum sensitivity of a Boolean function is…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2014-11-14 Andris Ambainis , Mohammad Bavarian , Yihan Gao , Jieming Mao , Xiaoming Sun , Song Zuo