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Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

Non-linear systems of differential equations have attracted the interest in fields like system biology, ecology or biochemistry, due to their flexibility and their ability to describe dynamical systems. Despite the importance of such models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-09 Javier González , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit

We introduce a new approach to probabilistic unsupervised learning based on the recognition-parametrised model (RPM): a normalised semi-parametric hypothesis class for joint distributions over observed and latent variables. Under the key…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 William I. Walker , Hugo Soulat , Changmin Yu , Maneesh Sahani

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Kernel density estimation is a key component of a wide variety of algorithms in machine learning, Bayesian inference, stochastic dynamics and signal processing. However, the unsupervised density estimation technique requires tuning a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Sunia Tanweer , Firas A. Khasawneh

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Probabilistic mixture models have been widely used for different machine learning and pattern recognition tasks such as clustering, dimensionality reduction, and classification. In this paper, we focus on trying to solve the most common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Gustavo A Valencia-Zapata , Daniel Mejia , Gerhard Klimeck , Michael Zentner , Okan Ersoy

Computational models provide crucial insights into complex biological processes such as cancer evolution, but their mechanistic nature often makes them nonlinear and parameter-rich, complicating calibration. We systematically evaluate…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2025-09-24 Christina Schenk , Jacobo Ayensa Jiménez , Ignacio Romero

Computation of document image quality metrics often depends upon the availability of a ground truth image corresponding to the document. This limits the applicability of quality metrics in applications such as hyperparameter optimization of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-10 Prashant Singh , Ekta Vats , Anders Hast

In this article, we develop a distributed variable screening method for generalized linear models. This method is designed to handle situations where both the sample size and the number of covariates are large. Specifically, the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Tianbo Diao , Lianqiang Qu , Bo Li , Liuquan Sun

This paper presents a neural network--enhanced surrogate modeling approach for diffusion problems with spatially varying random field coefficients. The method builds on numerical homogenization, which compresses fine-scale coefficients into…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-17 Fabian Kröpfl , Daniel Peterseim , Elisabeth Ullmann

The analysis of the spatial arrangement of colors and roughness/smoothness of figures is relevant due to its wide range of applications. This paper proposes a texture classification method that extracts data from images using the Hilbert…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-25 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Roberta Hansen , Verónica E. Pastor

Minimization of the (regularized) entropy of classification probabilities is a versatile class of discriminative clustering methods. The classification probabilities are usually defined through the use of some classical losses from…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-17 Edouard Genetay , Adrien Saumard , Rémi Coulaud

Hyperparameter optimization is the process of identifying the appropriate hyperparameter configuration of a given machine learning model with regard to a given learning task. For smaller data sets, an exhaustive search is possible; However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Blaž Škrlj , Adi Schwartz , Jure Ferlež , Davorin Kopič , Naama Ziporin

Machine learning often needs to model density from a multidimensional data sample, including correlations between coordinates. Additionally, we often have missing data case: that data points can miss values for some of coordinates. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-29 Jarek Duda

Natural gradient methods have been used to optimise the parameters of probability distributions in a variety of settings, often resulting in fast-converging procedures. Unfortunately, for many distributions of interest, computing the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

Testing for nonlinearity is one of the most important preprocessing steps in nonlinear time series analysis. Typically, this is done by means of the linear surrogate data methods. But it is a known fact that the validity of the results…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-02-01 Diego Guarin , Edilson Delgado , Alvaro Orozco

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric or semiparametric models based on Gaussian processes. The rate of contraction is shown to depend on the position of the true parameter relative to the reproducing…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten