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This work considers estimation and forecasting in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional count time series model constructed from a transformation of a latent Gaussian dynamic factor series. The estimation of the latent model parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-07 Younghoon Kim , Marie-Christine Düker , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

We discuss Bayesian analysis of multivariate time series with dynamic factor models that exploit time-adaptive sparsity in model parametrizations via the latent threshold approach. One central focus is on the transfer responses of multiple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

We propose a novel method for selecting coherent and diverse responses for a given dialogue context. The proposed method re-ranks response candidates generated from conversational models by using event causality relations between events in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-06-25 Shohei Tanaka , Koichiro Yoshino , Katsuhito Sudoh , Satoshi Nakamura

Factor analysis for high-dimensional data is a canonical problem in statistics and has a wide range of applications. However, there is currently no factor model tailored to effectively analyze high-dimensional count responses with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

Large tensor (multi-dimensional array) data are now routinely collected in a wide range of applications, due to modern data collection capabilities. Often such observations are taken over time, forming tensor time series. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-20 Rong Chen , Dan Yang , Cun-hui Zhang

A variety of machine learning tasks---e.g., matrix factorization, topic modelling, and feature allocation---can be viewed as learning the parameters of a probability distribution over bipartite graphs. Recently, a new class of models for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-07 Victor Veitch , Ekansh Sharma , Zacharie Naulet , Daniel M. Roy

We consider the problem of flexible modeling of higher order hidden Markov models when the number of latent states and the nature of the serial dependence, including the true order, are unknown. We propose Bayesian nonparametric methodology…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-06 Abhra Sarkar , David B. Dunson

Boolean tensor decomposition approximates data of multi-way binary relationships as product of interpretable low-rank binary factors, following the rules of Boolean algebra. Here, we present its first probabilistic treatment. We facilitate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Tammo Rukat , Chris C. Holmes , Christopher Yau

In public opinion studies, the relationships between opinions on different topics are likely to shift based on the characteristics of the respondents. Thus, understanding the complexities of public opinion requires methods that can account…

Factor analysis is a flexible technique for assessment of multivariate dependence and codependence. Besides being an exploratory tool used to reduce the dimensionality of multivariate data, it allows estimation of common factors that often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-19 Kelly C. M. Gonçalves , Afonso C. B. Silva

In this paper we present a fully Bayesian latent variable model which exploits conditional nonlinear(in)-dependence structures to learn an efficient latent representation. The latent space is factorized to represent shared and private…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Andreas Damianou , Carl Ek , Michalis Titsias , Neil Lawrence

We consider the problem of estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices of a particular structure, which is a summation of low rank and sparse matrices. This covariance structure has a wide range of applications including factor analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-17 Lin Zhang , Abhra Sarkar , Bani K. Mallick

This paper proposes a new Threshold Tensor Factor Model in Canonical Polyadic (CP) form for tensor time series. By integrating a thresholding autoregressive structure for the latent factor process into the tensor factor model in CP form,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Stevenson Bolivar , Rong Chen , Yuefeng Han

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to modelling nonlinear alignments of time series based on latent shared information. We apply the method to the real-world problem of finding common structure in the sensor data of wind turbines…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-24 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

Embedding dyadic data into a latent space has long been a popular approach to modeling networks of all kinds. While clustering has been done using this approach for static networks, this paper gives two methods of community detection within…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen

Tensors are ubiquitous in science and engineering and tensor factorization approaches have become important tools for the characterization of higher order structure. Factorizations includes the outer-product rank Canonical Polyadic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Jesper Løve Hinrich , Morten Mørup

Factor models are widely used across diverse areas of application for purposes that include dimensionality reduction, covariance estimation, and feature engineering. Traditional factor models can be seen as an instance of linear embedding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-13 Xingchen Yu , Abel Rodriguez

We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Aleksandr Simma , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper, we study the trade-offs of different inference approaches for Bayesian matrix factorisation methods, which are commonly used for predicting missing values, and for finding patterns in the data. In particular, we consider…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Thomas Brouwer , Jes Frellsen , Pietro Lió