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Computing moments of various parameter estimators related to an autoregressive model of Statistics, one needs to evaluate several non-trivial limits. This was done by arXiv:1506.03131 for the case of two, three and four dimensions; in this…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-02 Jan Vrbik

We develop moment estimators for the parameters of affine stochastic volatility models. We first address the challenge of calculating moments for the models by introducing a recursive equation for deriving closed-form expressions for…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-20 Yan-Feng Wu , Xiangyu Yang , Jian-Qiang Hu

To find moments of various estimators related to Autoregressive models of Statistics, one first needs the cumulants of products of two Normally distributed random variables. The purpose of this article is to derive the corresponding…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-18 Clarence Kalitsi , Jan Vrbik

We face the factor analysis problem using a particular class of auto-regressive processes. We propose an approximate moment matching approach to estimate the number of factors as well as the parameters of the model. This algorithm…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-08 Francesca Crescente , Lucia Falconi , Federica Rozzi , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

This paper studies the threshold estimation of a TAR model when the underlying threshold parameter is a random variable. It is shown that the Bayesian estimator is consistent and its limit distribution is expressed in terms of a limit…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-03-22 Ngai Hang Chan , Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We propose a wide class of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. We study rate of convergence of recursive estimation procedures for the general…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

The class of autoregressive (AR) processes is extensively used to model temporal dependence in observed time series. Such models are easily available and routinely fitted using freely available statistical software like R. A potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Pedro G. Nicolau , Håvard Rue

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Presented is an inductive formula for computing the sample moments of the distribution of Pearson's sample correlation over permutation of data. These exact formulas for the sample moments suggest the possibility of more precise and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-31 Marc Jaffrey , Michael Dushkoff

We define a new multivariate time series model by generalizing the ARMAX process in a multivariate way. We give conditions on stationarity and analyze local dependence and domains of attraction. As a consequence of the obtained result, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-11 Marta Ferreira , Helena Ferreira

Linear models that contain a time-dependent response and explanatory variables have attracted much interest in recent years. The most general form of the existing approaches is of a linear regression model with autoregressive moving average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska

Contemporary time series analysis has seen more and more tensor type data, from many fields. For example, stocks can be grouped according to Size, Book-to-Market ratio, and Operating Profitability, leading to a 3-way tensor observation at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Zebang Li , Han Xiao

We review autoregressive models for the analysis of multivariate count time series. In doing so, we discuss the choice of a suitable distribution for a vectors of count random variables. This review focus on three main approaches taken for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Konstantinos Fokianos

In this paper, we consider a linear regression model with AR(p) error terms with the assumption that the error terms have a t distribution as a heavy tailed alternative to the normal distribution. We obtain the estimators for the model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Yetkin Tuaç , Yeşim Güney Birdal Şenoğlu , Olcay Arslan

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li
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