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Sample-based Bayesian inference provides a route to uncertainty quantification in the geosciences, and inverse problems in general, though is very computationally demanding in the naive form that requires simulating an accurate computer…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Tiangang Cui , Colin Fox , Michael J O'Sullivan

The difficulty of minimizing a nonconvex function is in part explained by the presence of saddle points. This slows down optimization algorithms and impacts worst-case complexity guarantees. However, many nonconvex problems of interest…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-22 Florentin Goyens , Clément W. Royer

This paper introduces a new proximal stochastic gradient method with variance reduction and stabilization for minimizing the sum of a convex stochastic function and a group sparsity-inducing regularization function. Since the method may be…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-15 Yutong Dai , Guanyi Wang , Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson

We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood-estimation (or likelihood-ratio-estimation) with variational inference to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

In the flourishing live streaming industry, accurate recognition of streamers' emotions has become a critical research focus, with profound implications for audience engagement and content optimization. However, precise emotion coding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Ziqian Lin , Danyang Huang , Ziyu Xiong , Hansheng Wang

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-22 Florian Wenzel , Theo Galy-Fajou , Matthaeus Deutsch , Marius Kloft

Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Yuling Yao , Bruno Régaldo-Saint Blancard , Justin Domke

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

Stochastic variational inference (SVI) lets us scale up Bayesian computation to massive data. It uses stochastic optimization to fit a variational distribution, following easy-to-compute noisy natural gradients. As with most traditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-19 Stephan Mandt , David Blei

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Owing to the recent advances in "Big Data" modeling and prediction tasks, variational Bayesian estimation has gained popularity due to their ability to provide exact solutions to approximate posteriors. One key technique for approximate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-01 Hamza Anwar , Quanyan Zhu

Differential privacy (DP) provides robust privacy guarantees for statistical inference, but this can lead to unreliable results and biases in downstream applications. While several noise-aware approaches have been proposed which integrate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Talal Alrawajfeh , Joonas Jälkö , Antti Honkela

Sparse pseudo-point approximations for Gaussian process (GP) models provide a suite of methods that support deployment of GPs in the large data regime and enable analytic intractabilities to be sidestepped. However, the field lacks a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Thang D. Bui , Cuong V. Nguyen , Richard E. Turner

Variational inference has become an increasingly attractive fast alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for approximate Bayesian inference. However, a major obstacle to the widespread use of variational methods is the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-03 Jonathan H. Huggins , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Trevor Campbell , Tamara Broderick

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

We present an augmented Lagrangian trust-region method to efficiently solve constrained optimization problems governed by large-scale nonlinear systems with application to partial differential equation-constrained optimization. At each…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-24 Tianshu Wen , Matthew J. Zahr

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We propose using model reparametrization to improve variational Bayes inference for hierarchical models whose variables can be classified as global (shared across observations) or local (observation specific). Posterior dependence between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-28 Linda S. L. Tan

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy
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