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We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

In quantum metrology, one of the major applications of quantum technologies, the ultimate precision of estimating an unknown parameter is often stated in terms of the Cram\'er-Rao bound. Yet, the latter is no longer guaranteed to carry an…

We investigate a family of multiple-stable processes that may exhibit either long-range or short-range dependence, depending on the parameters. There are two parameters for the processes, the memory parameter $\beta\in(0,1)$ and the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-10 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang

We propose a class of estimators for the parameters of a GARCH(p,q) sequence. We show that our estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal under mild conditions. The quasi-maximum likelihood and the likelihood estimators are…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 István Berkes , Lajos Horváth

A new model for general cyclical long memory is introduced, by means of random modulation of certain bivariate long memory time series. This construction essentially decouples the two key features of cyclical long memory: quasi-periodicity…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-08 Stefanos Kechagias , Vladas Pipiras , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

A large proportion of organic molecules relevant to medicine and biotechnology contain one or more ionizable groups, which means that fundamental physical and chemical properties (e.g. the charge of the molecule) depend on the pH of the…

化学物理 · 物理学 2015-12-03 Jan H. Jensen

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Covariance matrix estimation and principal component analysis (PCA) are two cornerstones of multivariate analysis. Classic textbook solutions perform poorly when the dimension of the data is of a magnitude similar to the sample size, or…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-25 Olivier Ledoit , Michael Wolf

We show that the recently proposed (enhanced) PUMA estimator for array processing minimizes the same criterion function as the well-established MODE estimator. (PUMA = principal-singular-vector utilization for modal analysis, MODE = method…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-10-04 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Magnus Jansson

Parameter selection in high-dimensional models is typically finetuned in a way that keeps the (relative) number of false positives under control. This is because otherwise the few true positives may be dominated by the many possible false…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Maarten Jansen

The Information bottleneck method is an unsupervised non-parametric data organization technique. Given a joint distribution P(A,B), this method constructs a new variable T that extracts partitions, or clusters, over the values of A that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Nir Friedman , Ori Mosenzon , Noam Slonim , Naftali Tishby

Multi-criteria decision support systems are used in various fields of human activities. In every alternative multi-criteria decision making problem can be represented by a set of properties or constraints. The properties can be qualitative…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2011-05-03 Tuli Bakshi , Bijan Sarkar

High-frequency sampled multivariate continuous time autoregressive moving average processes are investigated. We obtain asymptotic expansion for the spectral density of the sampled MCARMA process $(Y_{n\Delta})_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$ as…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-14 Peter Kevei

The goal of this paper is to explore the basic Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm via the lens of information theory. ABC is a widely used algorithm in cases where the likelihood of the data is hard to work with or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-14 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Recent literature provides many computational and modeling approaches for covariance matrices estimation in a penalized Gaussian graphical models but relatively little study has been carried out on the choice of the tuning parameter. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-09-08 Heng Lian

Advanced super-resolution imaging techniques require specific approaches for accurate and consistent estimation of the achievable spatial resolution. Fisher information supplied to Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) has proved to be a powerful and…

Principal component analysis (PCA) requires the computation of a low-rank approximation to a matrix containing the data being analyzed. In many applications of PCA, the best possible accuracy of any rank-deficient approximation is at most a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-06-04 Vladimir Rokhlin , Arthur Szlam , Mark Tygert

We review the Akaike, deviance, and Watanabe-Akaike information criteria from a Bayesian perspective, where the goal is to estimate expected out-of-sample-prediction error using a biascorrected adjustment of within-sample error. We focus on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-24 Andrew Gelman , Jessica Hwang , Aki Vehtari