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Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$; Chopin et al., 2012) methods can be used to sample from the exact posterior distribution of intractable likelihood state space models. These methods are the SMC analogue to particle Markov chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

Sampling from high dimensional distributions is a computational bottleneck in many scientific applications. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), and in particular the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), are widely used, yet they struggle on problems with a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Jakob Robnik , Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak

Monte Carlo methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), remain the most regularly-used approach for implementing Bayesian inference. However, the computational cost of these approaches usually scales worse than linearly with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Leonardo Ripoli , Richard G. Everitt

In this paper, we examine the computational complexity of sampling from a Bayesian posterior (or pseudo-posterior) using the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA). MALA first employs a discrete-time Langevin SDE to propose a new…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

This paper develops a framework for quantile regression in binary longitudinal data settings. A novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is designed to fit the model and its computational efficiency is demonstrated in a simulation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-09-16 Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Angela Vossmeyer

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (AMCMC) is a class of MCMC algorithms where the proposal distribution changes at every iteration of the chain. In this case it is important to verify that such a Markov Chain indeed has a stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-07 Gopal K. Basak , Arunangshu Biswas

In this paper, we present a method for computing the marginal likelihood, also known as the model likelihood or Bayesian evidence, from Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), or other sampled posterior distributions. In order to do this, one…

Leveraging well-established MCMC strategies, we propose MCMC-interactive variational inference (MIVI) to not only estimate the posterior in a time constrained manner, but also facilitate the design of MCMC transitions. Constructing a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Quan Zhang , Huangjie Zheng , Mingyuan Zhou

In the era of Big Data, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, which are currently essential for Bayesian estimation, face significant computational challenges owing to their sequential nature. To achieve a faster and more effective…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Tomoki Matsumoto

Federated learning performed by a decentralized networks of agents is becoming increasingly important with the prevalence of embedded software on autonomous devices. Bayesian approaches to learning benefit from offering more information as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Adam Cobb , Tara Javidi , Brian Jalaian

We propose a weighting scheme for the proposals within Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and show how this can improve statistical efficiency at no extra computational cost. These methods are most powerful when combined with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-01 Espen Bernton , Shihao Yang , Yang Chen , Neil Shephard , Jun S. Liu

We introduce a class of Adapted Increasingly Rarely Markov Chain Monte Carlo (AirMCMC) algorithms where the underlying Markov kernel is allowed to be changed based on the whole available chain output but only at specific time points…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-01-30 Cyril Chimisov , Krzysztof Latuszynski , Gareth Roberts

Constantine et al. (2016) introduced a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) approach that target the active subspace of a posterior distribution: a linearly projected subspace that is informed by the likelihood. Schuster et al. (2017) refined this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Leonardo Ripoli , Richard G. Everitt

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Minghao Gu , Shiliang Sun

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

The Linear Model of Co-regionalization (LMC) is a very general multitask gaussian process model for regression or classification. While its expressiveness and conceptual simplicity are appealing, naive implementations have cubic complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Olivier Truffinet , Karim Ammar , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Bouriquet

Many real-life problems are represented as a black-box, i.e., the internal workings are inaccessible or a closed-form mathematical expression of the likelihood function cannot be defined. For continuous random variables likelihood-free…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Ilze Amanda Auzina , Jakub M. Tomczak

Variational Inference (VI) is an attractive alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) due to its computational efficiency in the case of large datasets and/or complex models with high-dimensional parameters. However, evaluating the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Yu Wang , Mikołaj Kasprzak , Jonathan H. Huggins