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Nested sampling is a simulation method for approximating marginal likelihoods proposed by Skilling (2006). We establish that nested sampling has an approximation error that vanishes at the standard Monte Carlo rate and that this error is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-10-11 Nicolas Chopin , Christian Robert

State Space Models (SSMs) have emerged as a promising alternative to the popular transformer-based models and have been increasingly gaining attention. Compared to transformers, SSMs excel at tasks with sequential data or longer contexts,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-17 Xingtai Lv , Youbang Sun , Kaiyan Zhang , Shang Qu , Xuekai Zhu , Yuchen Fan , Yi Wu , Ermo Hua , Xinwei Long , Ning Ding , Bowen Zhou

Stepped wedge designs (SWDs) are increasingly used to evaluate longitudinal cluster-level interventions but pose substantial challenges for valid inference. Because crossover times are randomized, intervention effects are intrinsically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Fan Xia , K. C. Gary Chan , Emily Voldal , Avi Kenny , Patrick J. Heagerty , James P. Hughes

The predominant method for evaluating the quality of causal models is to measure the graphical accuracy of the learned model structure. We present an alternative method for evaluating causal models that directly measures the accuracy of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-08-17 Dan Garant , David Jensen

Several network embedding models have been developed for unsigned networks. However, these models based on skip-gram cannot be applied to signed networks because they can only deal with one type of link. In this paper, we present our signed…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-03-16 Shuhan Yuan , Xintao Wu , Yang Xiang

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) aim to formalize personalized medicine by tailoring treatment decisions to individual patient characteristics. G-estimation for DTR identification targets the parameters of a structural nested mean model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-27 M. P. Wallace , E. E. M. Moodie , D. A. Stephens

In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

While most network embedding techniques model the proximity between nodes in a network, recently there has been significant interest in structural embeddings that are based on node equivalences, a notion rooted in sociology: equivalences or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Junchen Jin , Mark Heimann , Di Jin , Danai Koutra

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

Pairwise network models such as the Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) are a powerful and intuitive way to analyze dependencies in multivariate data. A key assumption of the GGM is that each pairwise interaction is independent of the values of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-14 Jonas Haslbeck , Denny Borsboom , Lourens Waldorp

This paper introduces a new probabilistic architecture called Sum-Product Graphical Model (SPGM). SPGMs combine traits from Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) and Graphical Models (GMs): Like SPNs, SPGMs always enable tractable inference using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-23 Mattia Desana , Christoph Schnörr

In the network literature, a wide range of statistical models has been proposed to exploit structural patterns in the data. Therefore, model selection between different models is a fundamental problem. However, there remains a lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Bokai Yang , Yuanxing Chen , Yuhong Yang

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

This paper proposes a Sieve Simulated Method of Moments (Sieve-SMM) estimator for the parameters and the distribution of the shocks in nonlinear dynamic models where the likelihood and the moments are not tractable. An important concern…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-19 Jean-Jacques Forneron

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) are biologically inspired machine learning models that build on dynamic neuronal models processing binary and sparse spiking signals in an event-driven, online, fashion. SNNs can be implemented on neuromorphic…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Hyeryung Jang , Nicolas Skatchkovsky , Osvaldo Simeone

Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a prevalent approach for studying constructs.Traditionally, these constructs are modeled as reflectively measured latent variables - common factors that account for the variance-covariance structure of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Tamara Schamberger , Florian Schuberth , Jörg Henseler , Yves Rosseel

The use of high-dimensional data for targeted therapeutic interventions requires new ways to characterize the heterogeneity observed across subgroups of a specific population. In particular, models for partially exchangeable data are needed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-18 Francesco Denti , Federico Camerlenghi , Michele Guindani , Antonietta Mira

The proliferation of science and technology has led to the prevalence of voluminous data sets that are distributed across multiple machines. It is an established fact that conventional statistical methodologies may be unfeasible in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-24 Lu Yan , Jiang Hu