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In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

We provide a simple formulation of the conditions under which ecological bias should be expected and argue that the bias will affect any method of ecological inference; our claim is supported by formal derivations and several examples where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Antonio Forcina , Davide Pellegrino

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a challenging problem, especially with high dimensional data and in the presence of unobserved variables. The available data-driven methods for tackling the problem either provide an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-25 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

This paper is concerned with the selection and estimation of fixed and random effects in linear mixed effects models. We propose a class of nonconcave penalized profile likelihood methods for selecting and estimating important fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-05 Yingying Fan , Runze Li

We propose a method for variable selection in discriminant analysis with mixed categorical and continuous variables. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-14 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Fulgence Eyi Obiang

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

Drawing causal inference with observational studies is the central pillar of many disciplines. One sufficient condition for identifying the causal effect is that the treatment-outcome relationship is unconfounded conditional on the observed…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Peng Ding , Tyler VanderWeele , James Robins

Akaike's information criterion (AIC) is a measure of the quality of a statistical model for a given set of data. We can determine the best statistical model for a particular data set by the minimization of the AIC. Since we need to evaluate…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-21 Keiji Kimura , Hayato Waki

We introduce a new criterion to determine the order of an autoregressive model fitted to time series data. It has the benefits of the two well-known model selection techniques, the Akaike information criterion and the Bayesian information…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-25 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

Background: Adaptive interventions provide a guide for using ongoing information about individuals to decide whether and how to modify the type, amount, delivery modality, or timing of treatment, to improve intervention effectiveness while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 John J. Dziak , Inbal Nahum-Shani

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

In segmented regression, when the regression function is continuous at the change-points that are the boundaries of the segments, it is also called joinpoint regression, and the analysis package developed by \cite{KimFFM00} has become a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Kazuki Nakajima , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Despite the popularity of feature importance (FI) measures in interpretable machine learning, the statistical adequacy of these methods is rarely discussed. From a statistical perspective, a major distinction is between analyzing a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-03 Kristin Blesch , David S. Watson , Marvin N. Wright

Linear mixed models are a versatile statistical tool to study data by accounting for fixed effects and random effects from multiple sources of variability. In many situations, a large number of candidate fixed effects is available and it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-09 Emanuele Degani , Luca Maestrini , Dorota Toczydłowska , Matt P. Wand

Variable selection over a potentially large set of covariates in a linear model is quite popular. In the Bayesian context, common prior choices can lead to a posterior expectation of the regression coefficients that is a sparse (or nearly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Debamita Kundu , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi