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We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti

Logistic regression model is widely used in many studies to investigate the relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ and a set of potential predictors $\mathbf X$. The binary response may represent, for example, the occurrence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme , Aliou Diop

Modelling block maxima using the generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution is a classical and widely used method for studying univariate extremes. It allows for theoretically motivated estimation of return levels, including extrapolation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Emma S. Simpson , Paul J. Northrop

The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution plays a critical role in risk assessment across various domains, such as hydrology, climate science, and finance. In this study, we investigate its application in analyzing intraday trading…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Sen Lin , Ao Kong , Robert Azencott

Academic research and the financial industry have recently paid great attention to Machine Learning algorithms due to their power to solve complex learning tasks. In the field of firms' default prediction, however, the lack of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-02 Lisa Crosato , Caterina Liberati , Marco Repetto

In the information system research, a question of particular interest is to interpret and to predict the probability of a firm to adopt a new technology such that market promotions are targeted to only those firms that were more likely to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-01-10 Xia Wang , Dipak K. Dey

Missing data are ubiquitous in empirical databases, yet statistical analyses typically require complete data matrices. Multiple imputation offers a principled solution for filling these gaps. This study evaluates the performance of several…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Enzo Porto Brasil

We conduct an extensive meta-regression analysis of counterfactual programme evaluations from Italy, considering both published and grey literature on enterprise and innovation policies. We specify a multilevel model for the probability of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-06 Chiara Bocci , Annalisa Caloffi , Marco Mariani , Alessandro Sterlacchini

Multivariate time series with missing values are common in areas such as healthcare and finance, and have grown in number and complexity over the years. This raises the question whether deep learning methodologies can outperform classical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-21 Vincent Fortuin , Dmitry Baranchuk , Gunnar Rätsch , Stephan Mandt

Generalized Estimation Equations (GEE) are a well-known method for the analysis of non-Gaussian longitudinal data. This method has computational simplicity and marginal parameter interpretation. However, in the presence of missing data, it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-16 José Luiz P. da Silva , Enrico A. Colosimo , Fábio N. Demarqui

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) represent the majority of firms in most economies and often face financial constraints and higher vulnerability to financial distress. Predicting SME default is therefore crucial for financial…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Desirè Fabbretti , Matteo Pasquino , Elia Pacioni , Caterina Lucarelli , Davide Calvaresi

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Bianca Sousa , Roberto Vila , Marcelo Bourguignon

In both high-performance computing (HPC) environments and the public cloud, the duration of time to retrieve or save your results is simultaneously unpredictable and important to your over all resource budget. It is generally accepted…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-11-21 R. Henwood , N. W. Watkins , S. C. Chapman , R. McLay

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Missing data occur in a variety of applications of extreme value analysis. In the block maxima approach to an extreme value analysis, missingness is often handled by either ignoring missing observations or dropping a block of observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 James H. McVittie , Orla A. Murphy

This paper presents a simulation study comparing the performance of generalized joint regression models (GJRM) with generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) and generalized estimating equations (GEE) for regression of longitudinal data with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-07 Aydin Sareff-Hibbert , Gillian Z. Heller

Generalized extreme value (GEV) regression is often more adapted when we investigate a relationship between a binary response variable $Y$ which represents a rare event and potentiel predictors $\mathbf{X}$. In particular, we use the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Aba Diop , El Hadji Deme

Model uncertainty is a central challenge in statistical models for binary outcomes such as logistic regression, arising when it is unclear which predictors should be included in the model. Many methods have been proposed to address this…

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