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Model-based reinforcement learning is a widely accepted solution for solving excessive sample demands. However, the predictions of the dynamics models are often not accurate enough, and the resulting bias may incur catastrophic decisions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-03 Wanpeng Zhang , Xi Xiao , Yao Yao , Mingzhe Chen , Dijun Luo

The Drift-Diffusion Model (DDM) is widely used in neuropsychological studies to understand the decision process by incorporating both reaction times and subjects' responses. Various models have been developed to estimate DDM parameters,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-03 Zekai Jin , Yaakov Stern , Seonjoo Lee

Accurately detecting multiple change-points is critical for various applications, but determining the optimal number of change-points remains a challenge. Existing approaches based on information criteria attempt to balance goodness-of-fit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Hui Chen , Yinxu Jia , Guanghui Wang , Changliang Zou

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu

In characterization of quantum systems, adapting measurement settings based on data while it is collected can generally outperform in efficiency conventional measurements that are carried out independently of data. The existing methods for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-11-21 Markku P. V. Stenberg , Frank K. Wilhelm

Multivariate meta-analysis (MMA) is a powerful tool for jointly estimating multiple outcomes' treatment effects. However, the validity of results from MMA is potentially compromised by outcome reporting bias (ORB), or the tendency for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-19 Ray Bai , Xiaokang Liu , Lifeng Lin , Yulun Liu , Stephen E. Kimmel , Haitao Chu , Yong Chen

Standard tomographic analyses ignore model uncertainty. It is assumed that a given model generated the data and the task is to estimate the quantum state, or a subset of parameters within that model. Here we apply a model averaging…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-09-26 Christopher Ferrie

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

Model-based design of experiments (MBDOE) is essential for efficient parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. However, conventional adaptive MBDOE requires costly posterior inference and design optimization between each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Arno Strouwen , Sebastian Micluţa-Câmpeanu

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT) are the current gold standards to empirically measure the effect of a new drug. However, they may be of limited size and resorting to complementary non-randomized data, referred to as observational, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Ahmed Boughdiri , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

Surveys are commonly used to facilitate research in epidemiology, health, and the social and behavioral sciences. Often, these surveys are not simple random samples, and respondents are given weights reflecting their probability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Systems that answer questions by reviewing the scientific literature are becoming increasingly feasible. To draw reliable conclusions, these systems should take into account the quality of available evidence from different studies, placing…

Methods for random-effects meta-analysis require an estimate of the between-study variance, $\tau^2$. The performance of estimators of $\tau^2$ (measured by bias and coverage) affects their usefulness in assessing heterogeneity of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Ilyas Bakbergenuly , David C. Hoaglin , Elena Kulinskaya

Measurement error in observational datasets can lead to systematic bias in inferences based on these datasets. As studies based on observational data are increasingly used to inform decisions with real-world impact, it is critical that we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Roy Adams , Yuelong Ji , Xiaobin Wang , Suchi Saria

Variational quantum algorithms have gained attention as early applications of quantum computers for learning tasks. In the context of supervised learning, most of the works that tackle classification problems with parameterized quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-02-10 Paul San Sebastian , Mikel Cañizo , Roman Orus

Competing risk analysis considers event times due to multiple causes, or of more than one event types. Commonly used regression models for such data include 1) cause-specific hazards model, which focuses on modeling one type of event while…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-27 Jiayi Hou , Anthony Paravati , Ronghui Xu , James Murphy

A promising way to improve the sample efficiency of reinforcement learning is model-based methods, in which many explorations and evaluations can happen in the learned models to save real-world samples. However, when the learned model has a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-14 Haoxin Lin , Yihao Sun , Jiaji Zhang , Yang Yu

Probabilistic and set-based methods are two approaches for model invalidation, parameter and state estimation. Both classes of methods use different types of data, i.e. deterministic or probabilistic data, which allow different statements…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-11-28 Stefan Streif , Didier Henrion , Rolf Findeisen

Quantile regression relates the quantile of the response to a linear predictor. For a discrete response distributions, like the Poission, Binomial and the negative Binomial, this approach is not feasible as the quantile function is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-19 Tullia Padellini , Haavard Rue