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Statistical inference in evolutionary models with site-dependence is a long-standing challenge in phylogenetics and computational biology. We consider the problem of approximating marginal sequence likelihoods under dependent-site models of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-12 Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty.…

数值分析 · 数学 2009-11-13 Jonathan Weare

We discuss a Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) procedure for the random sampling of some one-dimensional lattice paths with constraints, for various constraints. We show that an approach inspired by optimal transport allows us to bound…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-28 Lucas Gerin

Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty. The method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2007-09-13 Jonathan Weare

Slice sampling is an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from an unnormalized density with acceptance ratio always $1$. However, when the variable to sample is unbounded, its "stepping-out" heuristic works only locally,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Daichi Mochihashi

Statisticians often use Monte Carlo methods to approximate probability distributions, primarily with Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. Sequential Monte Carlo samplers are a class of algorithms that combine both techniques to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Chenguang Dai , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nick Whiteley

Closed-form stochastic filtering equations can be derived in a general setting where probability distributions are replaced by some specific outer measures. In this article, we study how the principles of the sequential Monte Carlo method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-07 Jeremie Houssineau , Branko Ristic

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given distribution, NOT based on the standard Metropolis (Markov chain) strategy. It uses the fact that nontrivial problems in statistical physics are high dimensional and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 P. Grassberger

Sampling from a lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in various areas such as coding and cryptography. The default sampling algorithm --- Klein's algorithm yields a distribution close to the lattice Gaussian…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling , Guillaume Hanrot

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

In general, the statistical simulation approaches are referred to as the Monte Carlo methods as a whole. The broad class of the Monte Carlo methods involves the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques that attract the attention of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Mahdi Teimouri

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

In this work, we examine sampling problems with non-smooth potentials. We propose a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from non-smooth potentials. We provide a non-asymptotical analysis of our algorithm and establish a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Jiaming Liang , Yongxin Chen

We propose a new Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for constrained target distributions. Our method first maps the $D$-dimensional constrained domain of parameters to the unit ball ${\bf B}_0^D(1)$. Then, it augments the resulting…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Bo Zhou , Babak Shahbaba

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing a proposed redistricting plan with an ensemble of sampled…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-09 Cory McCartan , Kosuke Imai

In this paper, we are interested in the speed of convergence of the stochastic billiard evolving in a convex set K. This process can be described as follows: a particle moves at unit speed inside the set K until it hits the boundary, and is…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-10 Ninon Fétique
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