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This paper demonstrates how reinforcement learning can explain two puzzling empirical patterns in household consumption behavior during economic downturns. I develop a model where agents use Q-learning with neural network approximation to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-24 Brandon Kaplowitz

Consumers are sensitive to medical prices when consuming care, but delays in price information may distort moral hazard. We study how medical bills affect household spillover spending following utilization, leveraging variation in insurer…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-06 Alex Hoagland , David M. Anderson , Ed Zhu

Estimation of average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) is an important topic of causal inference in econometrics and statistics. This problem seems to be often treated as a simple modification or extension of that of estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Heng Shu , Zhiqiang Tan

We examine the household-specific effects of the introduction of Time-of-Use (TOU) electricity pricing schemes. Using a causal forest (Athey and Imbens, 2016; Wager and Athey, 2018; Athey et al., 2019), we consider the association between…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-17 Eoghan O'Neill , Melvyn Weeks

The paper presents findings from a comprehensive study examining the saving and credit behaviors of low-income households residing in unauthorized colonies within a metropolitan area. Utilizing a dual approach, the study engaged in…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-05 Divya Sharma

The increasing multiplicity of data sources offers exciting possibilities in estimating the effects of a treatment, intervention, or exposure, particularly if observational and experimental sources could be used simultaneously. Borrowing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-24 Jeffrey A. Boatman , David M. Vock , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

This paper develops a practical framework for using observational data to audit the consumer surplus effects of AI-driven decisions, specifically in targeted pricing and algorithmic lending. Traditional approaches first estimate demand…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Zeyu Bian , Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Zhengling Qi

Causal evidence is needed to act and it is often enough for the evidence to point towards a direction of the effect of an action. For example, policymakers might be interested in estimating the effect of slightly increasing taxes on private…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-11 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Bin Yu

This paper proposes a brand-new measure of energy efficiency at household level and explores how it is affected by access to credit. We calculate the energy and carbon intensity of the related sectors, which experience a substantial decline…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-17 Jun Zhou , Zhichao Yin , Pengpeng Yue

Regulators and academics are increasingly interested in the causal effect that algorithmic actions of a digital platform have on consumption. We introduce a general causal inference problem we call the steerability of consumption that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Gary Cheng , Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

The COVID-19 pandemic presents challenges to both public health and the economy. Our objective is to examine how household expenditure, a significant component of private demand, reacts to changes in mobility. This investigation is crucial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Taekwon Hong , Wenbin Lu , Shu Yang , Pulak Ghosh

In this study, we investigate the causal effect of financial literacy education on a composite financial health score constructed from 17 self-reported financial health and distress metrics ranging from spending habits to confidence in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-06 Daniel Frees , Arnav Gangal , Charles Shaviro

What causes house prices to rise and fall? Economists identify household access to credit as a crucial factor. "Loan-to-Value" and "Debt-to-GDP" ratios are the standard measures for credit access. However, these measures fail to explain the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Menno Schellekens , Taha Yasseri

The European Credit Research Institute Research Report 2013 identifies Households debt "rapid increase and abrupt retrenchment" among the causes of macroeconomic instability in the European Union after 2008. In our research: i) we accessed…

经济学 · 定量金融 2014-04-30 Stefano Olgiati , Gilberto Bronzini , Alessandro Danovi

A literacy-targeted approach to economic instruction draws on insights from cognitive science. It highlights that students process complex economic information by constructing and modifying schemas that represent economic material.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-23 Oleg V. Pavlov , Natalia V. Smirnova , Elena V. Smirnova

In this paper, we forecast euro area inflation and its main components using an econometric model which exploits a massive number of time series on survey expectations for the European Commission's Business and Consumer Survey. To make…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-26 Florian Huber , Luca Onorante , Michael Pfarrhofer

The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically catalyzed the proliferation of e-shopping. The dramatic growth of e-shopping will undoubtedly cause significant impacts on travel demand. As a result, transportation modeller's ability to model e-shopping…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-23 Yicong Liu , Kaili Wang , Patrick Loa , Khandker Nurul Habib

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful tool to represent real-word phenomena and to learn network structures starting from data. This paper applies graphical models in a new framework to study association rules driven by consumer…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-02-11 Cristina Coscia , Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

We study consumption stimulus with digital coupons, which provide time-limited subsidies contingent on minimum spending. We analyze a large-scale program in China and present five main findings: (1) the program generates large short-term…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-03 Ying Chen , Mingyi Li , Jiaming Mao , Jingyi Zhou

This paper presents the first empirical assessment of the causal relationship between social capital and health in Italy. The analysis draws on the 2000 wave of the Multipurpose Survey on Household conducted by the Italian Institute of…

经济学 · 定量金融 2014-08-08 Damiano Fiorillo , Fabio Sabatini