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We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

This study introduces ReSA-ConvLSTM, an artificial intelligence (AI) framework for systematic bias correction in numerical weather prediction (NWP). We propose three innovations by integrating dynamic climatological normalization, ConvLSTM…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-23 Xiao Zhou , Yuze Sun , Jie Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Modeling of phenomena such as anomalous transport via fractional-order differential equations has been established as an effective alternative to partial differential equations, due to the inherent ability to describe large-scale behavior…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2021-10-25 Jorge Suzuki , Mamikon Gulian , Mohsen Zayernouri , Marta D'Elia

Probabilistic forecasts are typically obtained using state-of-the-art statistical and machine learning models, with model parameters estimated by optimizing a proper scoring rule over a set of training data. If the model class is not…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Jakob Benjamin Wessel , Maybritt Schillinger , Frank Kwasniok , Sam Allen

Univariate time series (UTS), where each timestamp records a single variable, serve as crucial indicators in web systems and cloud servers. Anomaly detection in UTS plays an essential role in both data mining and system reliability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Lingpei Zhang , Qingming Li , Yong Yang , Jiahao Chen , Rui Zeng , Chenyang Lyu , Shouling Ji

The reliable execution of high-level missions in multi-robot systems with heterogeneous agents, requires robust methods for detecting spurious behaviors. In this paper, we address the challenge of identifying spurious executions of plans…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Fernando Salanova , Jesús Roche , Cristian Mahulea , Eduardo Montijano

Inspired by biological swimming and flying with distributed sensing, we propose a data-driven approach for load estimation that relies on complex networks. We exploit sparse, real-time pressure inputs, combined with pre-trained transition…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-02-16 Giovanni Iacobello , Frieder Kaiser , David E. Rival

Seasonally adjusted series are usually used to analyse the business cycle and turning points. When the irregular is too high, it is preferable to smooth the series in order to analyse the trend-cycle component directly. This study focuses…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-16 Alain Quartier-la-Tente

We revisit the problem of estimating the local average treatment effect (LATE) and the local average treatment effect on the treated (LATT) when control variables are available, either to render the instrumental variable (IV) suitably…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-16 Tymon Słoczyński , S. Derya Uysal , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

We revisit the interest of classical statistical techniques for sales forecasting like exponential smoothing and extensions thereof (as Holt's linear trend method). We do so by considering ensemble forecasts, given by several instances of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Malo Huard , Rémy Garnier , Gilles Stoltz

Real-world IP network traffic is susceptible to external and internal factors such as new internet service integration, traffic migration, internet application, etc. Due to these factors, the actual internet traffic is non-linear and…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Sajal Saha , Anwar Haque , Greg Sidebottom

Marginal structural models (MSMs) allow for causal analysis of longitudinal data. The MSMs were originally developed as discrete time models. Recently, continuous-time MSMs were presented as a conceptually appealing alternative for survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

In this study, a method for predicting unsteady aerodynamic forces under different initial conditions using a limited number of samples based on transfer learning is proposed, aiming to avoid the need for large-scale high-fidelity…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-05-27 Wen Ji , Xueyuan Sun , Chunna Li , Xuyi Jia , Gang Wang , Chunlin Gong

As climate variability increases, the ability of utility providers to deliver precise Estimated Times of Restoration (ETR) during natural disasters has become increasingly critical. Accurate and timely ETRs are essential for enabling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja , Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Carls Benjamin

The electricity consumption forecasting is a critical component of the intelligent power system. And accurate monthly electricity consumption forecasting, as one of the the medium and long term electricity consumption forecasting problems,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-20 Weiheng Jiang , Xiaogang Wu , Yi Gong , Wanxin Yu , Xinhui Zhong

Existing research on single-machine scheduling is largely focused on exact algorithms, which perform well on typical instances but can significantly deteriorate on certain regions of the problem space. In contrast, data-driven approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Nikolai Antonov , Prěmysl Šůcha , Mikoláš Janota , Jan Hůla

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen