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We estimate here a flux-transport dynamo model's response time to changes in meridional flow speed. Time-variation in meridional flow primarily determines the shape of a cycle in this class of dynamo models. In order to simultaneously…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Mausumi Dikpati , Jeffrey L. Anderson

Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally-evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Global maps of the solar photospheric magnetic flux are fundamental drivers for simulations of the corona and solar wind and therefore are important predictors of geoeffective events. However, observations of the solar photosphere are only…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Kyle S. Hickmann , Humberto C. Godinez , Carl J. Henney , C. Nick Arge

This paper presents an innovative Reduced-Order Model (ROM) for merging experimental and simulation data using Data Assimilation (DA) to estimate the "True" state of a fluid dynamics system, leading to more accurate predictions. Our…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Paul Jeanney , Ashton Hetherington , Shady E. Ahmed , David Lanceta , Susana Saiz , José Miguel Perez , Soledad Le Clainche

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Knowledge of the global magnetic field distribution and its evolution on the Sun's surface is crucial for modeling the coronal magnetic field, understanding solar wind dynamics, computing the heliospheric open flux distribution and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-24 Soumyaranjan Dash , Marc L. DeRosa , Mausumi Dikpati , Xudong Sun , Sushant S. Mahajan , Yang Liu , J. Todd Hoeksema

This paper presents an approach for employing artificial neural networks (NN) to emulate an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) as a method of data assimilation. The assimilation methods are tested in the Simplified Parameterizations…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-17 Rosangela S. Cintra , Haroldo F. de Campos Velho

Data assimilation techniques, such as ensemble Kalman filtering, have been shown to be a highly effective and efficient way to combine noisy data with a mathematical model to track and forecast dynamical systems. However, when dealing with…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-17 Stephen A Falconer , David J. B. Lloyd , Naratip Santitissadeekorn

Although data assimilation originates from control theory, the relationship between modern data assimilation methods in geoscience and model predictive control has not been extensively explored. In the present paper, I discuss that the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Yohei Sawada

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, but its performance often deteriorates for strongly nonlinear dynamics due to the structural mismatch between the Kalman update and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Xin T. Tong , Yanyan Wang , Liang Yan

An online Data Assimilation strategy based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is used to improve the predictive capabilities of Large Eddy Simulation (LES) for the analysis of the turbulent flow in a plane channel, $Re_\tau \approx 550$.…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-10-30 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Marcello Meldi

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulation of the Kalman filter, and we prove that it is also the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-23 Eviatar Bach , Michael Ghil

A Data Assimilation (DA) strategy based on an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to enhance the predictive capabilities of scale resolving numerical tools for the analysis of flows exhibiting cyclic behaviour. More precisely, an ensemble…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-20 Lucas Villanueva , Karine Truffin , Jacques Borée , Marcello Meldi

Data assimilation is a method of uncertainty quantification to estimate the hidden true state by updating the prediction owing to model dynamics with observation data. As a prediction model, we consider a class of nonlinear dynamical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kota Takeda , Takashi Sakajo

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Ensemble data assimilation in flood forecasting depends strongly on the density, frequency and statistics of errors associated with the observation network. This work focuses on the assimilation of 2D flood extent data, expressed in terms…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-24 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Gwendoline Blanchet , Santiago Pena Luque , Peter Kettig

This study considers the data assimilation problem in coupled systems, which consists of two components (sub-systems) interacting with each other through certain coupling terms. A straightforward way to tackle the assimilation problem in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models, has great potential to incorporate machine learning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-20 Feiyu Lu
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