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Accurate power forecasting from renewable energy sources (RES) is crucial for integrating additional RES capacity into the power system and realizing sustainability goals. This work emphasizes the importance of integrating decentralized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-23 Carla Goncalves , Ricardo J. Bessa , Tiago Teixeira , Joao Vinagre

We present a physics-informed Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model to predict the phase angle, angular speed, and wind mechanical power from a limited number of measurements. In the traditional data-driven GPR method, the form of the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-06-29 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre Tartakovsky

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

The integration of large-scale renewable energy sources, such as wind power, poses significant challenges for the optimal operation of power systems owing to their inherent uncertainties. This paper proposes a solution framework for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Zhaojun Ruan , Botao Gao , Libao Shi

In this article we present an approach that enables joint wind speed and wind power forecasts for a wind park. We combine a multivariate seasonal time varying threshold autoregressive moving average (TVARMA) model with a power threshold…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-06-03 Florian Ziel , Carsten Croonenbroeck , Daniel Ambach

This study introduces adaptive robust optimization (ARO) and adaptive robust stochastic optimization (ARSO) approaches to address long- and short-term uncertainties in the optimal sizing and placement of distributed energy resources in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-25 Fernando García-Muñoz , Cristian Duran-Mateluna

Energy price forecasting is a relevant yet hard task in the field of multi-step time series forecasting. In this paper we compare a well-known and established method, ARMA with exogenous variables with a relatively new technique Gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-24 Gergo Barta , Gyula Borbely , Gabor Nagy , Sandor Kazi , Tamas Henk

High-Dimensional and Incomplete matrices, which usually contain a large amount of valuable latent information, can be well represented by a Latent Factor Analysis model. The performance of an LFA model heavily rely on its optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Jia Chen , Yixian Chun , Yuanyi Liu , Renyu Zhang , Yang Hu

Population-based methods can cope with a variety of different problems, including problems of remarkably higher complexity than those traditional methods can handle. The main procedure consists of successively updating a population of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Mauro S. Innocente , Johann Sienz

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

This paper proposes a distributionally robust optimal power flow (OPF) model for transmission grids with wind power generation. The model uses the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) constraints to control the reserve and branch flow limit…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-27 Lei You , Hui Ma , Tapan Kumar Saha , Gang Liu

In this paper we propose a novel artificial multi-swarm PSO which consists of an exploration swarm, an artificial exploitation swarm and an artificial convergence swarm. The exploration swarm is a set of equal-sized sub-swarms randomly…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Haohao Zhou , Zhi-Hui Zhan , Zhi-Xin Yang , Xiangzhi Wei

There is an emerging need for efficient solutions to stochastic AC Optimal Power Flow ({AC-}OPF) to ensure optimal and reliable grid operations in the presence of increasing demand and generation uncertainty. This paper presents a highly…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-11 Ilyes Mezghani , Sidhant Misra , Deepjyoti Deka

The need of real-time of monitoring and alerting systems for Space Weather hazards has grown significantly in the last two decades. One of the most important challenge for space mission operations and planning is the prediction of solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Mirko Stumpo , Monica Laurenza , Simone Benella , Maria Federica Marcucci

Wind flow can be highly unpredictable and can suffer substantial fluctuations in speed and direction due to the shape and height of hills, mountains, and valleys, making accurate wind speed (WS) forecasting essential in complex terrain.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Sourav Malakar , Saptarsi Goswami , Amlan Chakrabarti , Bhaswati Ganguli

Optimal implementation and monitoring of wind energy generation hinge on reliable power modeling that is vital for understanding turbine control, farm operational optimization, and grid load balance. Based on the idea of similar wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-05 Hao Chen

This paper proposes an evolutionary Particle Filter with a memory guided proposal step size update and an improved, fully-connected Quantum-behaved Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) resampling scheme for visual tracking applications. The…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-06-06 Saptarshi Sengupta , Richard Alan Peters

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov