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相关论文: Prediction with Advice of Unknown Number of Expert…

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In the framework of prediction with expert advice, we consider a recently introduced kind of regret bounds: the bounds that depend on the effective instead of nominal number of experts. In contrast to the NormalHedge bound, which mainly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-03-17 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

We apply the method of defensive forecasting, based on the use of game-theoretic supermartingales, to prediction with expert advice. In the traditional setting of a countable number of experts and a finite number of outcomes, the Defensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-03-12 Alexey Chernov , Yuri Kalnishkan , Fedor Zhdanov , Vladimir Vovk

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

We consider the problem of prediction with expert advice when the losses of the experts have low-dimensional structure: they are restricted to an unknown $d$-dimensional subspace. We devise algorithms with regret bounds that are independent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-24 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. We consider the finite-horizon version of this zero-sum, two-person game. Using verification arguments from optimal control theory, we view…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

We introduce the $\texttt{$k$-experts}$ problem - a generalization of the classic Prediction with Expert's Advice framework. Unlike the classic version, where the learner selects exactly one expert from a pool of $N$ experts at each round,…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Samrat Mukhopadhyay , Sourav Sahoo , Abhishek Sinha

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

We consider a variation on the problem of prediction with expert advice, where new forecasters that were unknown until then may appear at each round. As often in prediction with expert advice, designing an algorithm that achieves…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-01 Jaouad Mourtada , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

We study a variant of decision-theoretic online learning in which the set of experts that are available to Learner can shrink over time. This is a restricted version of the well-studied sleeping experts problem, itself a generalization of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-31 Hamid Shayestehmanesh , Sajjad Azami , Nishant A. Mehta

Advice-efficient prediction with expert advice (in analogy to label-efficient prediction) is a variant of prediction with expert advice game, where on each round of the game we are allowed to ask for advice of a limited number $M$ out of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 Yevgeny Seldin , Peter Bartlett , Koby Crammer

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

We study the problem of nonstochastic bandits with expert advice, extending the setting from finitely many experts to any countably infinite set: A learner aims to maximize the total reward by taking actions sequentially based on bandit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-29 X. Flora Meng , Tuhin Sarkar , Munther A. Dahleh

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

Prediction with experts' advice is one of the most fundamental problems in online learning and captures many of its technical challenges. A recent line of work has looked at online learning through the lens of differential equations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Victor Sanches Portella , Christopher Liaw , Nicholas J. A. Harvey

We investigate the problem of bandits with expert advice when the experts are fixed and known distributions over the actions. Improving on previous analyses, we show that the regret in this setting is controlled by information-theoretic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-16 Khaled Eldowa , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Alberto Maria Metelli , Marcello Restelli
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