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Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

Several objects in the Extremes literature are special instances of max-stable random sup-measures. This perspective opens connections to the theory of random sets and the theory of risk measures and makes it possible to extend…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-18 Ilya Molchanov , Kirstin Strokorb

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

We consider stationary sequences whose marginal tail is subexponential and lies in the Gumbel Maximum domain of attraction. Due to the extremely strong dependence, their extreme values are caused by multiple big values and are clustered in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-08 Zao-Li Chen

In this work, we propose a simulation-based estimation approach using generative neural networks to determine dependencies of precipitation maxima and their underlying uncertainty in time and space. Within the common framework of max-stable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Christopher Bülte , Lisa Leimenstoll , Melanie Schienle

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

Consider the max-stable process $\eta(t) = \max_{i\in\mathbb N} U_i \rm{e}^{\langle X_i, t\rangle - \kappa(t)}$, $t\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $\{U_i, i\in\mathbb{N}\}$ are points of the Poisson process with intensity $u^{-2}\rm{d} u$ on…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-09 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko

In this paper, we introduce a new class of models for spatial data obtained from max-convolution processes based on indicator kernels with random shape. We show that this class of models have appealing dependence properties including tail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Pavel Krupskii , Raphaël Huser

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

Max-stable random sketches can be computed efficiently on fast streaming positive data sets by using only sequential access to the data. They can be used to answer point and Lp-norm queries for the signal. There is an intriguing connection…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , Murad S. Taqqu

We investigate the predictability of extreme events in time series. The focus of this work is to understand under which circumstances large events are better predictable than smaller events. Therefore we use a simple prediction algorithm…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-01-30 S. Hallerberg , H. Kantz

We consider the extremal shot noise defined by $$M(y)=\sup\{mh(y-x);(x,m)\in\Phi\},$$ where $\Phi$ is a Poisson point process on $\bbR^d\times (0,+\infty)$ with intensity $\lambda dxG(dm)$ and $h:\bbR^d\to [0,+\infty]$ is a measurable…

概率论 · 数学 2010-06-01 Clément Dombry

Max-stability is the property that taking a maximum between two inputs results in a maximum between two outputs. We study max-stability with respect to first-order stochastic dominance, the most fundamental notion of stochastic dominance in…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-29 Christopher Chambers , Alan Miller , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

We propose a coefficient that measures the dependence among large values for spatial processes of maxima. Its main properties are: a) $k$ locations can be taken into account; b) it takes values in $[0,1]$ and higher values indicate stronger…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-22 Helena Ferreira , Luisa Pereira

The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (i.e., max-stable processes or $r$-Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at finite levels, empirical evidence often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-15 Raphaël Huser , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We focus on two dependency quantities of a max-stable random field $X$ on some space $T$: the extremal coefficient function $\theta$ which we define on finite sets of $T$ and the extremal correlation function $\chi(s,t)=\lim_{x \uparrow…

概率论 · 数学 2012-05-08 Kirstin Strokorb , Martin Schlather

Being the max-analogue of $\alpha$-stable stochastic processes, max-stable processes form one of the fundamental classes of stochastic processes. With the arrival of sufficient computational capabilities, they have become a benchmark in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-18 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Let $W_i,i\in{\mathbb{N}}$, be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $\{W(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^d\}$ with stationary increments and variance $\sigma^2(t)$. Independently of $W_i$, let $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\delta_{U_i}$ be a…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather , Laurens de Haan