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Empirical likelihood serves as a powerful tool for constructing confidence intervals in nonparametric regression and regression discontinuity designs (RDD). The original empirical likelihood framework can be naturally extended to these…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-03 Qin Fang , Shaojun Guo , Yang Hong , Xinghao Qiao

The concept of biased data is well known and its practical applications range from social sciences and biology to economics and quality control. These observations arise when a sampling procedure chooses an observation with probability that…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Sam Efromovich

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre

We consider the problem of constructing Bayesian based confidence sets for linear functionals in the inverse Gaussian white noise model. We work with a scale of Gaussian priors indexed by a regularity hyper-parameter and apply the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-04-21 Botond Szabó

Gibbs-ERM learning is a natural idealized model of learning with stochastic optimization algorithms (such as Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics and ---to some extent--- Stochastic Gradient Descent), while it also arises in other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-06 Ilja Kuzborskij , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Csaba Szepesvári

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Linda Chamakh , Zoltan Szabo

The posterior distribution in a nonparametric inverse problem is shown to contract to the true parameter at a rate that depends on the smoothness of the parameter, and the smoothness and scale of the prior. Correct combinations of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 B. T. Knapik , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

We consider the problem of statistical inference on parameters of a target population when auxiliary observations are available from related populations. We propose a flexible empirical Bayes approach that can be applied on top of any…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-15 Michael Law , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

In this paper, our aim is to analyse the generalization capabilities of first-order methods for statistical learning in multiple, different yet related, scenarios including supervised learning, transfer learning, robust learning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Kevin Scaman , Mathieu Even , Batiste Le Bars , Laurent Massoulié

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

In real life, we frequently come across data sets that involve some independent explanatory variable(s) generating a set of ordinal responses. These ordinal responses may correspond to an underlying continuous latent variable, which is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-08 Arijit Pyne , Subhrajyoty Roy , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

As opposed to standard empirical risk minimization (ERM), distributionally robust optimization aims to minimize the worst-case risk over a larger ambiguity set containing the original empirical distribution of the training data. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Jaeho Lee , Maxim Raginsky

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution supported by the $k$-dimensional probability simplex in the setting where an $\varepsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to adversarial corruption. A simple particular…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Amir-Hossein Bateni , Arnak S. Dalalyan

This paper studies higher-order inference properties of nonparametric local polynomial regression methods under random sampling. We prove Edgeworth expansions for $t$ statistics and coverage error expansions for interval estimators that (i)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-26 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

We consider the problem of model selection type aggregation in the context of density estimation. We first show that empirical risk minimization is sub-optimal for this problem and it shares this property with the exponential weights…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-29 Pierre C. Bellec