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相关论文: Building Unbiased Estimators from Non-Gaussian Lik…

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Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We consider an on-line least squares regression problem with optimal solution $\theta^*$ and Hessian matrix H, and study a time-average stochastic gradient descent estimator of $\theta^*$. For $k\ge2$, we provide an unbiased estimator of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Nabil Kahalé

In this paper the problem of best linear unbiased estimation is investigated for continuous-time regression models. We prove several general statements concerning the explicit form of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE), in particular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Stein unbiased risk estimation is generalized twice, from the Gaussian shift model to nonparametric families of smooth densities, and from the quadratic risk to more general divergence type distances. The development relies on a connection…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-12 Werner Ehm

Training large-scale mixture of experts models efficiently on modern hardware requires assigning datapoints in a batch to different experts, each with a limited capacity. Recently proposed assignment procedures lack a probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-09 Wouter Kool , Chris J. Maddison , Andriy Mnih

Shrinkage estimation usually reduces variance at the cost of bias. But when we care only about some parameters of a model, I show that we can reduce variance without incurring bias if we have additional information about the distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-01 Jann Spiess

Motivated by the proliferation of observational datasets and the need to integrate non-randomized evidence with randomized controlled trials, causal inference researchers have recently proposed several new methodologies for combining biased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Francesca Dominici , Luke Miratrix

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

In large-scale modern data analysis, first-order optimization methods are usually favored to obtain sparse estimators in high dimensions. This paper performs theoretical analysis of a class of iterative thresholding based estimators defined…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-11 Yiyuan She

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky

Implicit feedback is widely leveraged in recommender systems since it is easy to collect and provides weak supervision signals. Recent works reveal a huge gap between the implicit feedback and user-item relevance due to the fact that…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-06-02 Can Chen , Chen Ma , Xi Chen , Sirui Song , Hao Liu , Xue Liu

We present an in-depth analysis of the sources of variance in state-of-the-art unbiased volumetric transmittance estimators, and propose several new methods for improving their efficiency. These combine to produce a single estimator that is…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2021-08-20 Markus Kettunen , Eugene d'Eon , Jacopo Pantaleoni , Jan Novak

Compared to nonparametric estimators in the multivariate setting, kernel estimators for functional data models have a larger order of bias. This is problematic for constructing confidence regions or statistical tests since the bias might…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-21 Melanie Birke , Tim Greger

Large catalogs of shear-selected peaks have recently become a reality. In order to properly interpret the abundance and properties of these peaks, it is necessary to take into account the effects of the clustering of source galaxies, among…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Fabian Schmidt , Eduardo Rozo

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Assuming squared error loss, we show that finding unbiased estimators and Bayes estimators can be treated as using a pair of linear operators that operate between two Hilbert spaces. We note that these integral operators are adjoint and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-14 Siamak Noorbaloochi , Glen Meeden

In this paper we consider an extension of the beta regression model proposed by Ferrari and Cribari-Neto (2004). We extend their model in two different ways, first, we let the regression structure be nonlinear, second, we allow a regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-10-24 Alexandre B. Simas , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Andréa V. Rocha

We present a new method to estimate shear measurement bias in image simulations that significantly improves the precision with respect to current techniques. Our method is based on measuring the shear response for individual images. We…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-19 Arnau Pujol , Martin Kilbinger , Florent Sureau , Jerome Bobin

We present a new trace estimator of the matrix whose explicit form is not given but its matrix multiplication to a vector is available. The form of the estimator is similar to the Hutchison stochastic trace estimator, but instead of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-20 Boram Yoon