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Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

This paper introduces a novel robust trading paradigm, called \textit{multi-double linear policies}, situated within a \textit{generalized} lattice market. Distinctively, our framework departs from most existing robust trading strategies,…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-04-18 Chung-Han Hsieh , Xin-Yu Wang

Pairs trading is a market-neutral strategy that exploits historical correlation between stocks to achieve statistical arbitrage. Existing pairs-trading algorithms in the literature require rather restrictive assumptions on the underlying…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-08-15 Atul Deshpande , B. Ross Barmish

We address the problem of executing large client orders in continuous double-auction markets under time and liquidity constraints. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) framework that balances three competing objectives: order…

The stock market is characterized by a complex relationship between companies and the market. This study combines a sequential graph structure with attention mechanisms to learn global and local information within temporal time.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-25 Tzu-Ya Lai , Wen Jung Cheng , Jun-En Ding

Understanding the dependencies among financial assets is critical for portfolio optimization. Traditional approaches based on correlation networks often fail to capture the nonlinear and directional relationships that exist in financial…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-01-15 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Filippo Petroni

Market-based coordination of demand side assets has gained great interests in recent years. In spite of its efficiency, there is a risk that the interaction between the dynamic assets through the price signal could result in an unstable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-04-04 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

As distributed energy resources (DERs) proliferate, future power system will need new market platforms enabling prosumers to trade various electricity and grid-support products. However, prosumers often exhibit complex, product…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-12 Shobhit Singhal , Lesia Mitridati

In this paper, we explore the application of Permutation Decision Trees (PDT) and strategic trailing for predicting stock market movements and executing profitable trades in the Indian stock market. We focus on high-frequency data using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Vishrut Ramraj , Nithin Nagaraj , Harikrishnan N B

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

Market-based mechanisms such as auctions are being studied as an appropriate means for resource allocation in distributed and mulitagent decision problems. When agents value resources in combination rather than in isolation, they must often…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Craig Boutilier , Moises Goldszmidt , Bikash Sabata

Efficient markets are characterised by profit-driven participants continuously refining their positions towards the latest insights. Margins for profit generation are generally small, shaping a difficult landscape for automated trading…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Robin Bruneel , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

We tackle the challenge of estimating grouping structures and factor loadings in asset pricing models, where traditional regressions struggle due to sparse data and high noise. Existing approaches, such as those using fused penalties and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Liyuan Cui , Guanhao Feng , Yuefeng Han , Jiayan Li

We study the problem of dynamically trading multiple futures contracts with different underlying assets. To capture the joint dynamics of stochastic bases for all traded futures, we propose a new model involving a multi-dimensional scaled…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2019-10-14 Bahman Angoshtari , Tim Leung

Transactional network data can be thought of as a list of one-to-many communications(e.g., email) between nodes in a social network. Most social network models convert this type of data into binary relations between pairs of nodes. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-10-08 Mahdi Shafiei , Hugh Chipman

Price movement prediction has always been one of the traders' concerns in financial market trading. In order to increase their profit, they can analyze the historical data and predict the price movement. The large size of the data and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-10 Naseh Majidi , Mahdi Shamsi , Farokh Marvasti

We propose and study the integration of sentiment analysis and deep reinforcement learning ensemble algorithms for stock trading by evaluating strategies capable of dynamically altering their active agent given the concurrent market…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-11-21 Andrew Ye , James Xu , Vidyut Veedgav , Yi Wang , Yifan Yu , Daniel Yan , Ryan Chen , Vipin Chaudhary , Shuai Xu

Prediction markets are designed to elicit information from multiple agents in order to predict (obtain probabilities for) future events. A good prediction market incentivizes agents to reveal their information truthfully; such incentive…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Vincent Conitzer

This paper develops a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) strategy for a class of discrete-time linear systems with consideration of globally coupled constraints. The DMPC under study is based on the dual problem concerning all…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-07-25 Yanxu Su , Yang Shi , Changyin Sun