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Early identification of at risk students in higher education depends on predictive models that maintain accuracy across successive cohorts -- a requirement that single-cohort modeling approaches fail to meet. This study evaluates Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Jakob Schwerter , Amer Krivosija , Tim Novak , Katja Ickstadt , Alexander Munteanu

We introduce a nonparametric prior on the conditional distribution of a (univariate or multivariate) response given a set of predictors. The prior is constructed in the form of a two-stage generative procedure, which in the first stage…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Li Ma

We consider the problem of learning parameters of latent variable models from mixed (continuous and ordinal) data with missing values. We propose a novel Bayesian Gaussian copula factor (BGCF) approach that is consistent under certain…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Ruifei Cui , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Perry Groot , Tom Heskes

Previous studies based on Bayesian methods have shown that the constraints on cosmological parameters from the Baryonic Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) full-shape data using the Effective Field Theory of Large Scale Structure…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-09-11 Emil Brinch Holm , Laura Herold , Théo Simon , Elisa G. M. Ferreira , Steen Hannestad , Vivian Poulin , Thomas Tram

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Databases often contain corrupted, degraded, and noisy data with duplicate entries across and within each database. Such problems arise in citations, medical databases, genetics, human rights databases, and a variety of other applied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-29 Rebecca C. Steorts

Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

High-dimensional spectral data -- routinely generated in dairy production -- are used to predict a range of traits in milk products. Partial least squares (PLS) regression is ubiquitously used for these prediction tasks. However, PLS…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Szymon Urbas , Pierre Lovera , Robert Daly , Alan O'Riordan , Donagh Berry , Isobel Claire Gormley

We consider the problem of recovering block-sparse signals whose structures are unknown \emph{a priori}. Block-sparse signals with nonzero coefficients occurring in clusters arise naturally in many practical scenarios. However, the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-11-12 Jun Fang , Yanning Shen , Hongbin Li , Pu Wang

Detection limit (DL) has become an increasingly ubiquitous issue in statistical analyses of biomedical studies, such as cytokine, metabolite and protein analysis. In regression analysis, if an explanatory variable is left-censored due to…

For the ANOVA model, we propose a new g-prior based Bayes factor without integral representation, with reasonable model selection consistency for any asymptotic situations (either number of levels of the factor and/or number of replication…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-14 Yuzo Maruyama

Gibbs-type priors are widely used as key components in several Bayesian nonparametric models. By virtue of their flexibility and mathematical tractability, they turn out to be predominant priors in species sampling problems, clustering and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

In the Bayesian analysis of contingency table data, the selection of a prior distribution for either the log-linear parameters or the cell probabilities parameter is a major challenge. Though the conjugate prior on cell probabilities has…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Jinnan Liu , Helene Massam

Bayesian model selection provides a formal method of determining the level of support for new parameters in a model. However, if there is not a specific enough underlying physical motivation for the new parameters it can be hard to assign…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Christopher Gordon , Roberto Trotta

Being able to reliably assess not only the \emph{accuracy} but also the \emph{uncertainty} of models' predictions is an important endeavour in modern machine learning. Even if the model generating the data and labels is known, computing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

This article discusses prior distributions for the parameters of Gaussian processes (GPs) that are widely used as surrogate models to emulate expensive computer simulations. The parameters typically involve mean parameters, a variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Mengyang Gu , Victor De Oliveira

Construction methods for prior densities are investigated from a predictive viewpoint. Predictive densities for future observables are constructed by using observed data. The simultaneous distribution of future observables and observed data…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

The nonparametric regression model with normal errors has been extensively studied, both from the frequentist and Bayesian viewpoint. A central result in Bayesian nonparametrics is that under assumptions on the prior, the data-generating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-24 Paul Rosa

Generative models produce realistic objects in many domains, including text, image, video, and audio synthesis. Most popular models---Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs)---usually employ a standard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-30 Maksim Kuznetsov , Daniil Polykovskiy , Dmitry Vetrov , Alexander Zhebrak