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A crucial part of data analysis is the validation of the resulting estimators, in particular, if several competing estimators need to be compared. Whether an estimator can be objectively validated is not a trivial property. If there exists…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-17 Tino Werner

The present study defines a new statistic for detecting laboratory effects in the analysis of ordinal variation (ORDANOVA). The ORDANOVA is an analysis method similar to one-way analysis of variance for analysing ordinal data obtained from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Jun-ichi Takeshita , Yuto Arai , Mayu Ogawa , Xiao-Nan Lu , Tomomichi Suzuki

A new and rapidly growing econometric literature is making advances in the problem of using machine learning methods for causal inference questions. Yet, the empirical economics literature has not started to fully exploit the strengths of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-05 Anna Baiardi , Andrea A. Naghi

The normality assumption for random errors is fundamental in the analysis of variance (ANOVA) models. However, it is rarely subjected to formal testing in practice, and theoretically justified procedures are largely unavailable, especially…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-31 Peiwen Jia , Xiaojun Song , Haoyu Wei

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

We carry out ANOVA comparisons of multiple treatments for longitudinal studies with missing values. The treatment effects are modeled semiparametrically via a partially linear regression which is flexible in quantifying the time effects of…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-14 Song Xi Chen , Ping-Shou Zhong

Mathematics is a limited component of solutions to real-world problems, as it expresses only what is expected to be true if all our assumptions are correct, including implicit assumptions that are omnipresent and often incorrect.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-14 Sander Greenland

In scientific inference problems, the underlying statistical modeling assumptions have a crucial impact on the end results. There exist, however, only a few automatic means for validating these fundamental modelling assumptions. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we present two methods to provide explanations for reasoning with belief functions in the valuation-based systems. One approach, inspired by Strat's method, is based on sensitivity analysis, but its computation is simpler…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Hong Xu , Philippe Smets

Much artificial intelligence research focuses on the problem of deducing the validity of unobservable propositions or hypotheses from observable evidence.! Many of the knowledge representation techniques designed for this problem encode the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-12 Ross D. Shachter , David Heckerman

In this introductory note, I describe my particular view of the notion of ontological commitments as honest and pragmatic working hypotheses that assume the existence (out there) of certain entities represented by the symbols in our theory.…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2014-01-15 Pablo Echenique-Robba

Evidential deep learning, built upon belief theory and subjective logic, offers a principled and computationally efficient way to turn a deterministic neural network uncertainty-aware. The resultant evidential models can quantify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Deep Pandey , Qi Yu

It is not, in general, possible to have access to all variables that determine the behavior of a system. Having identified a number of variables whose values can be accessed, there may still be hidden variables which influence the dynamics…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-04-30 Rui Ligeiro , R. Vilela Mendes

Reproducibility is an important feature of science; experiments are retested, and analyses are repeated. Trust in the findings increases when consistent results are achieved. Despite the importance of reproducibility, significant work is…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2023-01-12 Akhil Pandey Akella , Hamed Alhoori , David Koop

Conventional methods in causal effect inferencetypically rely on specifying a valid set of control variables. When this set is unknown or misspecified, inferences will be erroneous. We propose a method for inferring average causal effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Ludvig Hult , Dave Zachariah

SHAP is a popular method for measuring variable importance in machine learning models. In this paper, we study the algorithm used to estimate SHAP scores and outline its connection to the functional ANOVA decomposition. We use this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Andrew Herren , P. Richard Hahn

Automated decision systems are increasingly used for consequential decision making -- for a variety of reasons. These systems often rely on sophisticated yet opaque models, which do not (or hardly) allow for understanding how or why a given…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Jakob Schoeffer , Yvette Machowski , Niklas Kuehl

Reliability analysis aims at estimating the failure probability of an engineering system. It often requires multiple runs of a limit-state function, which usually relies on computationally intensive simulations. Traditionally, these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-22 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan