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The breeding method is a computationally cheap way to generate flow-adapted ensembles to be used in probabilistic forecasts. Its main disadvantage is that the ensemble may lack diversity and collapse to a low-dimensional subspace. To still…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-05-01 Brent Giggins , Georg A. Gottwald

We present new techniques for automatically constructing probabilistic programs for data analysis, interpretation, and prediction. These techniques work with probabilistic domain-specific data modeling languages that capture key properties…

In order to obtain a stochastic model that accounts for the stochastic aspects of the dynamics of a business process, usually the following steps are taken. Given an event log, a process tree is obtained through a process discovery…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 András Horváth , Paolo Ballarini , Pierre Cry

Visual Programming (VP) has emerged as a powerful framework for Visual Question Answering (VQA). By generating and executing bespoke code for each question, these methods demonstrate impressive compositional and reasoning capabilities,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Jiaxin Ge , Sanjay Subramanian , Baifeng Shi , Roei Herzig , Trevor Darrell

Natural Language Processing (NLP) inference is seeing increasing adoption by mobile applications, where on-device inference is desirable for crucially preserving user data privacy and avoiding network roundtrips. Yet, the unprecedented size…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-01 Liwei Guo , Wonkyo Choe , Felix Xiaozhu Lin

InferPy is a Python package for probabilistic modeling with deep neural networks. It defines a user-friendly API that trades-off model complexity with ease of use, unlike other libraries whose focus is on dealing with very general…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-13 Javier Cózar , Rafael Cabañas , Antonio Salmerón , Andrés R. Masegosa

Stochastic algorithms are efficient approaches to solving machine learning and optimization problems. In this paper, we propose a general framework called Splash for parallelizing stochastic algorithms on multi-node distributed systems.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-09-24 Yuchen Zhang , Michael I. Jordan

Variable Elimination (VE) is a classical exact inference algorithm for probabilistic graphical models such as Bayesian Networks, computing the marginal distribution of a subset of the random variables in the model. Our goal is to understand…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Thomas Ehrhard , Claudia Faggian , Michele Pagani

Programming microcontrollers involves low-level interfacing with hardware and peripherals that are concurrent and reactive. Such programs are typically written in a mixture of C and assembly using concurrent language extensions (like…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-02 Abhiroop Sarkar , Robert Krook , Bo Joel Svensson , Mary Sheeran

Probabilistic programming has emerged as a powerful paradigm in statistics, applied science, and machine learning: by decoupling modelling from inference, it promises to allow modellers to directly reason about the processes generating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-10 Maria I. Gorinova , Dave Moore , Matthew D. Hoffman

In standard methodology for natural language processing, entities in text are typically embedded in dense vector spaces with pre-trained models. The embeddings produced this way are effective when fed into downstream models, but they…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-14 Yasumasa Onoe , Greg Durrett

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

We introduce Support Decomposition Variational Inference (SDVI), a new variational inference (VI) approach for probabilistic programs with stochastic support. Existing approaches to this problem rely on designing a single global variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-02 Tim Reichelt , Luke Ong , Tom Rainforth

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

Probabilistic programming languages and modeling toolkits are two modular ways to build and reuse stochastic models and inference procedures. Combining strengths of both, we express models and inference as generalized coroutines in the same…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Oleg Kiselyov , Chung-chieh Shan

Information projections are the key building block of variational inference algorithms and are used to approximate a target probabilistic model by projecting it onto a family of tractable distributions. In general, there is no guarantee on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-10-06 Lun-Kai Hsu , Tudor Achim , Stefano Ermon

Variational inference is computationally challenging in models that contain both conjugate and non-conjugate terms. Methods specifically designed for conjugate models, even though computationally efficient, find it difficult to deal with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-14 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Wu Lin

Software Engineering and the implementation of software has become a challenging task as many tools, frameworks and languages must be orchestrated into one functioning piece. This complexity increases the need for testing and analysis…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-06-27 Hannes Thaller

We propose VISP: Volatility Informed Stochastic Projection, an adaptive regularization method that leverages gradient volatility to guide stochastic noise injection in deep neural networks. Unlike conventional techniques that apply uniform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Tanvir Islam

In this extended abstract, we discuss the opportunity to formally verify that inference systems for probabilistic programming guarantee good performance. In particular, we focus on hybrid inference systems that combine exact and approximate…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2023-07-17 Eric Atkinson , Ellie Y. Cheng , Guillaume Baudart , Louis Mandel , Michael Carbin