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A primary goal of computer experiments is to reconstruct the function given by the computer code via scattered evaluations. Traditional isotropic Gaussian process models suffer from the curse of dimensionality, when the input dimension is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-01 Gecheng Chen , Rui Tuo

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

The computational cost for inference and prediction of statistical models based on Gaussian processes with Mat\'ern covariance functions scales cubicly with the number of observations, limiting their applicability to large data sets. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-04 David Bolin , Vaibhav Mehandiratta , Alexandre B. Simas

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is supported by efficient sampling algorithms, a rich methodological literature, and strong theoretical grounding. However, due to their prohibitive computation and storage demands, the use of exact GPs…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Kelly R. Moran , Matthew W. Wheeler

Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Physical systems can often be described via a continuous-time dynamical system. In practice, the true system is often unknown and has to be learned from measurement data. Since data is typically collected in discrete time, e.g. by sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-31 Katharina Ensinger , Nicholas Tagliapietra , Sebastian Ziesche , Sebastian Trimpe

Engineers widely use Gaussian process regression framework to construct surrogate models aimed to replace computationally expensive physical models while exploring design space. Thanks to Gaussian process properties we can use both samples…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-14 Evgeny Burnaev , Alexey Zaytsev

Design of experiments is a fundamental topic in applied statistics with a long history. Yet its application is often limited by the complexity and costliness of constructing experimental designs, which involve searching a high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Matthew T. Pratola , C. Devon Lin , Peter F. Craigmile

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

Scaling analysis, in which one infers scaling exponents and a scaling function in a scaling law from given data, is a powerful tool for determining universal properties of critical phenomena in many fields of science. However, there are…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-07-08 Kenji Harada

In biomanufacturing, developing an accurate model to simulate the complex dynamics of bioprocesses is an important yet challenging task. This is partially due to the uncertainty associated with bioprocesses, high data acquisition cost, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Yuan Sun , Winton Nathan-Roberts , Tien Dung Pham , Ellen Otte , Uwe Aickelin

Gaussian processes provide a powerful probabilistic kernel learning framework, which allows learning high quality nonparametric regression models via methods such as Gaussian process regression. Nevertheless, the learning phase of Gaussian…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-01-06 Paz Fink Shustin , Haim Avron

Non-conjugate Gaussian processes (NCGPs) define a flexible probabilistic framework to model categorical, ordinal and continuous data, and are widely used in practice. However, exact inference in NCGPs is prohibitively expensive for large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Lukas Tatzel , Jonathan Wenger , Frank Schneider , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen