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For decision making under uncertainty, min-max regret has been established as a popular methodology to find robust solutions. In this approach, we compare the performance of our solution against the best possible performance had we known…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-25 Marc Goerigk , Michael Hartisch

We investigate the problem of online learning, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to its applicability in a wide range of fields from machine learning to game theory. Specifically, we study the online optimization of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

A dominant approach to solving large imperfect-information games is Counterfactural Regret Minimization (CFR). In CFR, many regret minimization problems are combined to solve the game. For very large games, abstraction is typically needed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Ryan D'Orazio , Dustin Morrill , James R. Wright

Loss-based updating, including generalized Bayes, Gibbs, and quasi-posteriors, replaces likelihoods by a user-chosen loss and produces a posterior-like distribution via exponential tilt. We give a decision-theoretic characterization that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Kenichiro McAlinn , Kōsaku Takanashi

A stream of algorithmic advances has steadily increased the popularity of the Bayesian approach as an inference paradigm, both from the theoretical and applied perspective. Even with apparent successes in numerous application fields, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Owen Thomas , Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Gradient-variation online learning aims to achieve regret guarantees that scale with variations in the gradients of online functions, which has been shown to be crucial for attaining fast convergence in games and robustness in stochastic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Yan-Feng Xie , Peng Zhao , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We prove that a classic sub-Gaussian mixture proposed by Robbins in a stochastic setting actually satisfies a path-wise (deterministic) regret bound. For every path in a natural ``Ville event'' $\mathcal E_\alpha$, this regret till time $T$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Shubhada Agrawal , Aaditya Ramdas

$\Phi$-equilibria -- and the associated notion of $\Phi$-regret -- are a powerful and flexible framework at the heart of online learning and game theory, whereby enriching the set of deviations $\Phi$ begets stronger notions of rationality.…

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

We revisit lower bounds on the regret in the case of multi-armed bandit problems. We obtain non-asymptotic, distribution-dependent bounds and provide straightforward proofs based only on well-known properties of Kullback-Leibler…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-16 Aurélien Garivier , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

We consider the problem of length generalization in sequence prediction. We define a new metric of performance in this setting -- the Asymmetric-Regret -- which measures regret against a benchmark predictor with longer context length than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Annie Marsden , Evan Dogariu , Naman Agarwal , Xinyi Chen , Daniel Suo , Elad Hazan

We generalise the classical Pinsker inequality which relates variational divergence to Kullback-Liebler divergence in two ways: we consider arbitrary f-divergences in place of KL divergence, and we assume knowledge of a sequence of values…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2009-06-09 Mark D. Reid , Robert C. Williamson

In the setting of online learning, Implicit algorithms turn out to be highly successful from a practical standpoint. However, the tightest regret analyses only show marginal improvements over Online Mirror Descent. In this work, we shed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-10 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

We study the problem of global optimization, where we analyze the performance of the Piyavskii--Shubert algorithm and its variants. For any given time duration $T$, instead of the extensively studied simple regret (which is the difference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Divergences are quantities that measure discrepancy between two probability distributions and play an important role in various fields such as statistics and machine learning. Divergences are non-negative and are equal to zero if and only…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-22 Tomohiro Nishiyama

The Pinsker inequality lower bounds the Kullback--Leibler divergence $D_{\textrm{KL}}$ in terms of total variation and provides a canonical way to convert $D_{\textrm{KL}}$ control into $\lVert \cdot \rVert_1$-control. Motivated by…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Guglielmo Beretta , Tommaso Cesari , Roberto Colomboni

Many policy optimization approaches in reinforcement learning incorporate a Kullback-Leilbler (KL) divergence to the previous policy, to prevent the policy from changing too quickly. This idea was initially proposed in a seminal paper on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Lingwei Zhu , Zheng Chen , Matthew Schlegel , Martha White

We consider the problem of estimating probability density functions based on sample data, using a finite mixture of densities from some component class. To this end, we introduce the $h$-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence as a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Mark Chiu Chong , Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

This work focuses on the setting of dynamic regret in the context of online learning with full information. In particular, we analyze regret bounds with respect to the temporal variability of the loss functions. By assuming that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Nicolò Campolongo , Francesco Orabona

We study the limiting behavior of the mixed strategies that result from optimal no-regret learning strategies in a repeated game setting where the stage game is any 2 by 2 competitive game. We consider optimal no-regret algorithms that are…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-03-03 Vidya Muthukumar , Soham Phade , Anant Sahai