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We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Massively parallel computer architectures create new opportunities for the performance of long-timescale molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Here, we introduce the path-accelerated molecular dynamics (PAMD) method that takes advantage of…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-01-11 Jorge L. Rosa-Raíces , Bin Zhang , Thomas F. Miller

Performing Bayesian inference on large spatio-temporal models requires extracting inverse elements of large sparse precision matrices for marginal variances, as well as estimating model hyperparameters. Although direct matrix factorizations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Elias T. Krainski , Håvard Rue

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

概率论 · 数学 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

Forecasting the dynamics of large complex networks from previous time-series data is important in a wide range of contexts. Here we present a machine learning scheme for this task using a parallel architecture that mimics the topology of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-04 Keshav Srinivasan , Nolan Coble , Joy Hamlin , Thomas Antonsen , Edward Ott , Michelle Girvan

We study a one-dimensional Markov modulated random walk with jumps. It is assumed that amplitudes of jumps as well as a chosen velocity regime are random and depend on a time spent by the process at a previous state of the underlying Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2013-03-13 Nikita Ratanov

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

We present a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm for Markov chain trajectories with proposals constructed in reverse time, which is advantageous when paths are conditioned to end in a rare set. The reverse time proposal distribution is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Jere Koskela , Dario Spano , Paul A. Jenkins

This paper presents a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to generate approximate posterior samples in retrospective multiple changepoint problems where the number of changes is not known in advance. The method uses conjugate models whereby the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-15 Jason Wyse , Nial Friel

The construction of Mapper has emerged in the last decade as a powerful and effective topological data analysis tool that approximates and generalizes other topological summaries, such as the Reeb graph, the contour tree, split, and joint…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Mustafa Hajij , Basem Assiri , Paul Rosen

The paper deals with the developing of the methodological backgrounds for the modeling and simulation of complex dynamical objects. Such backgrounds allow us to perform coordinate transformation and formulate the algorithm of its usage for…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2019-08-07 Roman Voliansky , Andri Pranolo

We study the $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-PAC policy identification problem in finite-horizon episodic Markov Decision Processes. Existing approaches provide finite-time guarantees for approximate settings ($\varepsilon>0$) but suffer from high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Cyrille Kone , Kevin Jamieson

This paper presents a new Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) that uses convex analysis to simulate efficiently from high-dimensional densities that are log-concave, a class of probability distributions that is widely used in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-06 Marcelo Pereyra

We propose a new framework for formulating optimal transport distances between Markov chains. Previously known formulations studied couplings between the entire joint distribution induced by the chains, and derived solutions via a reduction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-17 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

This work introduces and studies a new family of velocity jump Markov processes directly amenable to exact simulation with the following two properties: i) trajectories converge in law when a time-step parameter vanishes towards a given…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-15 Pierre Monmarché , Mathias Rousset , Pierre-André Zitt

Random walks are a fundamental primitive used in many machine learning algorithms with several applications in clustering and semi-supervised learning. Despite their relevance, the first efficient parallel algorithm to compute random walks…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Michael Kapralov , Silvio Lattanzi , Navid Nouri , Jakab Tardos

Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are algorithms used to sample probability distributions, commonly used to sample the Boltzmann distribution of physical/chemical models (e.g., protein folding, Ising model, etc.). This allows us to study…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Aingeru Ramos , Jose A Pascual , Javier Navaridas , Ivan Coluzza

In this paper, we provide a family of dynamic programming based algorithms to sample nearly-shortest self avoiding walks between two points of the integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^2$. We show that if the shortest path of between two points has…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-12 Wesley Pegden , Anish Sevekari

Many chemical reactions and molecular processes occur on timescales that are significantly longer than those accessible by direct simulation. One successful approach to estimating dynamical statistics for such processes is to use many short…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-10-03 Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Spencer C. Guo , John Strahan , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner
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