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Observational studies are often used to understand relationships between exposures and outcomes. They do not, however, allow conclusions about causal relationships to be drawn unless statistical techniques are used to account for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Andreas Markoulidakis , Peter Holmans , Philip Pallmann , Monica Busse , Beth Ann Griffin

In early-phase cancer clinical trials, the limited availability of data presents significant challenges in developing a framework to efficiently quantify treatment effectiveness. To address this, we propose a novel utility-based Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Saurabh Bhandari , Michael J. Daniels , Chenguang Wang

Results in epidemiology and social science often require the removal of confounding effects from measurements of the pairwise correlation of variables in survey data. This is typically accomplished by some variant of linear regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 William H. Press

We consider the problem of estimating fold-changes in the expected value of a multivariate outcome observed with unknown sample-specific and category-specific perturbations. This challenge arises in high-throughput sequencing studies of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 David S Clausen , Sarah Teichman , Amy D Willis

Researchers are often interested in learning not only the effect of treatments on outcomes, but also the pathways through which these effects operate. A mediator is a variable that is affected by treatment and subsequently affects outcome.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-22 Jeremiah Jones , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

Motivated by empirical studies investigating treatment effects in survival analysis, we propose a bivariate transformation model to quantify the impact of a binary treatment on a time-to-event outcome. The model equations are connected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-03 Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

Assessing causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding is challenging. Although auxiliary variables, such as instrumental variables, are commonly used to identify causal effects, they are often unavailable in practice due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Kang Shuai , Shanshan Luo , Yue Zhang , Feng Xie , Yangbo He

We present new results on average causal effects in settings with unmeasured exposure-outcome confounding. Our results are motivated by a class of estimands, e.g., frequently of interest in medicine and public health, that are currently not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-25 Lan Wen , Aaron L. Sarvet , Mats J. Stensrud

Imaging demonstrates that preclinical and human tumors are heterogeneous, i.e. a single tumor can exhibit multiple regions that behave differently during both normal development and also in response to treatment. The large variations…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-08 P. D. Tar , N. A. Thacker , J. P. B. O'Connor

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

The lack of non-parametric statistical tests for confounding bias significantly hampers the development of robust, valid and generalizable predictive models in many fields of research. Here I propose the partial and full confounder tests,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Tamas Spisak

We propose an approach to estimate the effect of multiple simultaneous interventions in the presence of hidden confounders. To overcome the problem of hidden confounding, we consider the setting where we have access to not only the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Ricardo Silva

We address modelling and computational issues for multiple treatment effect inference under many potential confounders. Our main contribution is providing a trade-off between preventing the omission of relevant confounders, while not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , David Rossell , Miquel Torrens-i-Dinarès

Measurement error can often be harmful when estimating causal effects. Two scenarios in which this is the case are in the estimation of (a) the average treatment effect when confounders are measured with error and (b) the natural indirect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-04 Caleb H. Miles , Linda Valeri , Brent Coull

Because of the constraint that the estimators be bona fide physical states, any quantum state tomography scheme - including the widely used maximum likelihood estimation - yields estimators that may have a bias, although they are consistent…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-05-22 Jiangwei Shang , Hui Khoon Ng , Berthold-Georg Englert

For sensitivity analysis against unmeasured confounding, we build on the marginal sensitivity model (MSM) and propose a new model, deMSM, by incorporating a second constraint on the shift of potential outcome distributions caused by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-21 Yi Zhang , Wenfu Xu , Zhiqiang Tan

An important concern in an observational study is whether or not there is unmeasured confounding, i.e., unmeasured ways in which the treatment and control groups differ before treatment that affect the outcome. We develop a test of whether…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-26 Zijian Guo , Jing Cheng , Scott A. Lorch , Dylan S. Small

We report assumption-free bounds for any contrast between the probabilities of the potential outcome under exposure and non-exposure when the confounders are missing not at random. We assume that the missingness mechanism is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-04 Jose M. Peña

Studies in environmental and epidemiological sciences are often spatially varying and observational in nature with the aim of establishing cause and effect relationships. One of the major challenges with such studies is the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-16 Sayli Pokal , Yawen Guan , Honglang Wang , Yuzhen Zhou

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson