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Integrating a high share of electricity from non-dispatchable Renewable Energy Sources in a power supply system is a challenging task. One option considered in many studies dealing with prospective power systems is the installation of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-09 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Thomas Vogt , Carsten Agert

Wind power forecasting is essential for managing daily operations at wind farms and enabling market operators to manage power uncertainty effectively in demand planning. This paper explores advanced cross-temporal forecasting models and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

A significant fraction (5-15%) of renewable energy generated goes into waste in the grids around the world today due to oversupply issues and transmission constraints. Being able to predict when and where renewable curtailment occurs would…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-30 Bilge Acun , Brent Morgan , Henry Richardson , Nat Steinsultz , Carole-Jean Wu

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Climate change will impact wind and therefore wind power generation with largely unknown effect and magnitude. Climate models can provide insights and should be used for long-term power planning. In this work we use Gaussian processes to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-23 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig

The transition to sustainable energy is a key challenge of our time, requiring modifications in the entire pipeline of energy production, storage, transmission, and consumption. At every stage, new sequential decision-making challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-29 Koen Ponse , Felix Kleuker , Márton Fejér , Álvaro Serra-Gómez , Aske Plaat , Thomas Moerland

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Earth, water, air, food, shelter and energy are essential factors required for human being to survive on the planet. Among this energy plays a key role in our day to day living including giving lighting, cooling and heating of shelter,…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2015-12-21 Anshul Bansal , Susheel Kaushik Rompikuntla , Jaganadh Gopinadhan , Amanpreet Kaur , Zahoor Ahamed Kazi

Nowadays hydroelectric energy is one of the best energy sources: it is cleaner, safer and more programmable than other sources. For this reason, its manage could not be done in an approssimative way, but advance mathematical models must be…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Matteo Gardini , Aurora Manicardi

Integrating renewable energy production into the electricity grid is an important policy goal to address climate change. However, such an integration faces economic and technological challenges. As power generation by renewable sources…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-15 Nayara Aguiar , Indraneel Chakraborty , Vijay Gupta

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-02-09 Fotios Petropoulos , Daniele Apiletti , Vassilios Assimakopoulos , Mohamed Zied Babai , Devon K. Barrow , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Christoph Bergmeir , Ricardo J. Bessa , Jakub Bijak , John E. Boylan , Jethro Browell , Claudio Carnevale , Jennifer L. Castle , Pasquale Cirillo , Michael P. Clements , Clara Cordeiro , Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira , Shari De Baets , Alexander Dokumentov , Joanne Ellison , Piotr Fiszeder , Philip Hans Franses , David T. Frazier , Michael Gilliland , M. Sinan Gönül , Paul Goodwin , Luigi Grossi , Yael Grushka-Cockayne , Mariangela Guidolin , Massimo Guidolin , Ulrich Gunter , Xiaojia Guo , Renato Guseo , Nigel Harvey , David F. Hendry , Ross Hollyman , Tim Januschowski , Jooyoung Jeon , Victor Richmond R. Jose , Yanfei Kang , Anne B. Koehler , Stephan Kolassa , Nikolaos Kourentzes , Sonia Leva , Feng Li , Konstantia Litsiou , Spyros Makridakis , Gael M. Martin , Andrew B. Martinez , Sheik Meeran , Theodore Modis , Konstantinos Nikolopoulos , Dilek Önkal , Alessia Paccagnini , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Ioannis Panapakidis , Jose M. Pavía , Manuela Pedio , Diego J. Pedregal , Pierre Pinson , Patrícia Ramos , David E. Rapach , J. James Reade , Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Michał Rubaszek , Georgios Sermpinis , Han Lin Shang , Evangelos Spiliotis , Aris A. Syntetos , Priyanga Dilini Talagala , Thiyanga S. Talagala , Len Tashman , Dimitrios Thomakos , Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Ezio Todini , Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas , Xiaoqian Wang , Robert L. Winkler , Alisa Yusupova , Florian Ziel

Recently, there has been a push by countries to diversify their energy mix considering various factors. In this regard, there have been several studies conducted to assess the potential for using sources such as wind and solar to generate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-16 Abbas Shah Syed , Aron Patrick , Adrian Lauf , Adel Elmaghraby

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

In this research, renewable energy expansion in South America up to 2050 is predicted based on machine learning models that are trained on past energy data. The research employs gradient boosting regression and Prophet time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Triveni Magadum , Sanjana Murgod , Kartik Garg , Vivek Yadav , Harshit Mittal , Omkar Kushwaha

Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-12 Hossein Nourollahi Hokmabad , Tala Hemmati Shahsavar , Pedro P. Vergara , Oleksandr Husev , Juri Belikov

Due to the limited predictability of wind power and other stochastic generation, trading this energy in competitive electricity markets is challenging. This paper derives revenue-maximising and risk-constrained strategies for stochastic…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

In the evolving power system, where new renewable resources continually displace conventional generation, conventional hydropower resources can be an important asset that helps to maintain reliability and flexibility. Varying climatic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-07 Bhaskar Mitra , Sohom Datta , Slaven Kincic , Nader Samaan , Abhishek Somani