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We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

We consider a stationary spatio-temporal random process and assume that we have a sample. By defining a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms at canonical frequencies at each location, and using these complex valued random varables as…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-31 T. Subba Rao , Gy. Terdik

This paper presents a new spatial-temporal nonlocal traffic flow model formulated to overcome the boundedness limitations inherent in classical local formulations. The model introduces an adaptive kernel that captures both spatial and…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-30 Animesh Biswas , Archie Huang , Shaurya Agarwal , Christopher Housholder

Urban mobility models are essential tools for understanding and forecasting how people and goods move within cities, which is vital for transportation planning. The spatial scale at which urban mobility is analysed is a crucial determinant…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-06 Rakhi Manohar Mepparambath , Hoai Nguyen Huynh

We define several new models for how to define anomalous regions among enormous sets of trajectories. These are based on spatial scan statistics, and identify a geometric region which captures a subset of trajectories which are…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-06-06 Michael Matheny , Dong Xie , Jeff M. Phillips

Influenced mixed moving average fields are a versatile modeling class for spatio-temporal data. However, their predictive distribution is not generally known. Under this modeling assumption, we define a novel spatio-temporal embedding and a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-05 Imma Valentina Curato , Orkun Furat , Lorenzo Proietti , Bennet Stroeh

Aeroengine performance is determined by temperature and pressure profiles along various axial stations within an engine. Given limited sensor measurements both along and between axial stations, we require a statistically principled approach…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan , George Thorne , Geoffrey Parks , Raul Vazquez Diaz , Mark Girolami

This paper proposes a linear categorical random coefficient model, in which the random coefficients follow parametric categorical distributions. The distributional parameters are identified based on a linear recurrence structure of moments…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-03-01 Zhan Gao , M. Hashem Pesaran

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

In this paper, we present a statistical framework for modeling conditional quantiles of spatial processes assumed to be strongly mixing in space. We establish the $L_1$ consistency and the asymptotic normality of the kernel conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-26 Sophie Dabo Niang , Baba Thiam

Extreme values geostatistics make it possible to model the asymptotic behaviors of random phenomena which depends on space or time parameters. In this paper, we propose new models of the extremal coefficient within a spatial stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-05 Ouoba Fabrice , Diakarya Barro , Hay Yoba Talkibing

A model for cross-over designs with repeated measures within each period was developed. It is obtained using an extension of generalized estimating equations that includes a parametric component to model treatment effects and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-21 N. A. Cruz , O. O. Melo , C. A. Martinez

The advent of data science has provided an increasing number of challenges with high data complexity. This paper addresses the challenge of space-time data where the spatial domain is not a planar surface, a sphere, or a linear network, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Emilio Porcu , Philip A. White , Marc G. Genton

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Iskander Azangulov , Andrei Smolensky , Alexander Terenin , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

The analysis of excursion sets in imaging data is essential to a wide range of scientific disciplines such as neuroimaging, climatology and cosmology. Despite growing literature, there is little published concerning the comparison of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Thomas Maullin-Sapey , Armin Schwartzman , Thomas E. Nichols

Spatial and spatiotemporal volatility models are a class of models designed to capture spatial dependence in the volatility of spatial and spatiotemporal data. Spatial dependence in the volatility may arise due to spatial spillovers among…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-28 Philipp Otto , Osman Doğan , Süleyman Taşpınar , Wolfgang Schmid , Anil K. Bera

Spatial systems with heterogeneities are ubiquitous in nature, from precipitation, temperature and soil gradients controlling vegetation growth to morphogen gradients controlling gene expression in embryos. Such systems, generally described…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-10 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

This paper studies when a sequence of probability measures on a metric space admit subsequential weak limits. A sufficient condition called sequential tightness is formulated, which relaxes some assumptions for asymptotic tightness used in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-20 Osama Abuzaid

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

We study a category of probability spaces and measure-preserving Markov kernels up to almost sure equality. This category contains, among its isomorphisms, mod-zero isomorphisms of probability spaces. It also gives an isomorphism between…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Noé Ensarguet , Paolo Perrone