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Bayesian optimization is a methodology to optimize black-box functions. Traditionally, it focuses on the setting where you can arbitrarily query the search space. However, many real-life problems do not offer this flexibility; in…

In many application areas, data are collected on a categorical response and high-dimensional categorical predictors, with the goals being to build a parsimonious model for classification while doing inferences on the important predictors.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-22 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

In the field of decision trees, most previous studies have difficulty ensuring the statistical optimality of a prediction of new data and suffer from overfitting because trees are usually used only to represent prediction functions to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-13 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Naoki Ichijo , Koki Kazama , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Bayesian Decision Trees (DTs) are generally considered a more advanced and accurate model than a regular Decision Tree (DT) because they can handle complex and uncertain data. Existing work on Bayesian DTs uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Alexander M. Phillips , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

This paper introduces two families of probability distributions for Bayesian analysis of hypertoroidal data. The first family consists of symmetric distributions derived from the projection of multivariate normal distributions under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Shogo Kato , Gianluca Mastrantonio , Masayuki Ishikawa

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

The use of Cauchy Markov random field priors in statistical inverse problems can potentially lead to posterior distributions which are non-Gaussian, high-dimensional, multimodal and heavy-tailed. In order to use such priors successfully,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-15 Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen , Jarkko Suuronen

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

We develop two models for Bayesian estimation and selection in high-order, discrete-state Markov chains. Both are based on the mixture transition distribution, which constructs a transition probability tensor with additive mixing of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Matthew Heiner , Athanasios Kottas

Motivated by examples from genetic association studies, this paper considers the model selection problem in a general complex linear model system and in a Bayesian framework. We discuss formulating model selection problems and incorporating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-14 Xiaoquan Wen

A new class of distributional transformations is introduced, characterized by equations relating function weighted expectations of test functions on a given distribution to expectations of the transformed distribution on the test function's…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert

When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Yuling Yao , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

We consider situations in Bayesian analysis where we have a family of priors $\nu_h$ on the parameter $\theta$, where $h$ varies continuously over a space $\mathcal{H}$, and we deal with two related problems. The first involves sensitivity…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Eugenia Buta , Hani Doss

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Many variables in the social, physical, and biosciences, including neuroscience, are non-normally distributed. To improve the statistical properties of such data, or to allow parametric testing, logarithmic or logit transformations are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-08 Sacha Jennifer van Albada , Peter A. Robinson

Stokes inversion techniques are very powerful methods for obtaining information on the thermodynamic and magnetic properties of solar and stellar atmospheres. In recent years, very sophisticated inversion codes have been developed that are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-23 C. J. Díaz Baso , A. Asensio Ramos , J. de la Cruz Rodríguez

In solving Bayesian inverse problems, it is often desirable to use a common density parameterization to denote the prior and posterior. Typically we seek a density from the same family as the prior which closely approximates the true…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-03-29 Xiao-Mei Yang , Zhi-Liang Deng

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods form one of the algorithmic foundations of Bayesian inverse problems. The recent development of likelihood-informed subspace (LIS) methods offers a viable route to designing efficient MCMC methods for…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Xin Tong , Olivier Zahm

Bayesian methods constitute a popular approach for estimating the conditional independence structure in Gaussian graphical models, since they can quantify the uncertainty through the posterior distribution. Inference in this framework is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Marcus Gehrmann , Håkon Tjelmeland

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems typically relies on posterior sampling approaches, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, for which the generation of each sample requires one or more evaluations of the parameter-to-observable map or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-23 Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk
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