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Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

Traffic speed is a key indicator for the efficiency of an urban transportation system. Accurate modeling of the spatiotemporally varying traffic speed thus plays a crucial role in urban planning and development. This paper addresses the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-08-29 Truc Viet Le , Richard J. Oentaryo , Siyuan Liu , Hoong Chuin Lau

Emergency Medical Systems (EMS) provide crucial pre-hospital care and transportation. Faster EMS response time provides quicker pre-hospital care and thus increases survival rate. We reduce response time by providing optimal ambulance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-28 Joshua Ong , David Kulpanowski , Yangxinyu Xie , Evdokia Nikolova , Ngoc Mai Tran

Missing data is a common problem in real-world sensor data collection. The performance of various approaches to impute data degrade rapidly in the extreme scenarios of low data sampling and noisy sampling, a case present in many real-world…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-21 Charul Paliwal , Pravesh Biyani , Ketan Rajawat

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

Stop location detection, within human mobility studies, has an impacts in multiple fields including urban planning, transport network design, epidemiological modeling, and socio-economic segregation analysis. However, it remains a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Margherita Bertè , Rashid Ibrahimli , Lars Koopmans , Pablo Valgañón , Nicola Zomer , Davide Colombi

Although animal locations gained via GPS, etc. are typically observed on a discrete time scale, movement models formulated in continuous time are preferable in order to avoid the struggles experienced in discrete time when faced with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Alison Parton , Paul G. Blackwell , Anna Skarin

Transporting causal information across populations is a critical challenge in clinical decision-making. Causal modeling provides criteria for identifiability and transportability, but these require knowledge of the causal graph, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Konstantina Lelova , Gregory F. Cooper , Sofia Triantafillou

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

Automated road network extraction from remote sensing imagery remains a significant challenge despite its importance in a broad array of applications. To this end, we explore road network extraction at scale with inference of semantic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Adam Van Etten

We propose a new data-augmentation strategy for fully Bayesian inference in models with binomial likelihoods. The approach appeals to a new class of Polya-Gamma distributions, which are constructed in detail. A variety of examples are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott , Jesse Windle

Travel time or speed estimation are part of many intelligent transportation applications. Existing estimation approaches rely on either function fitting or aggregation and represent different trade-offs between generalizability and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-28 Tobias Skovgaard Jepsen , Christian S. Jensen , Thomas Dyhre Nielsen

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

This paper presents a Bayesian estimation method for sequential direction finding. The proposed method estimates the number of directions of arrivals (DOAs) and their DOAs performing operations on the factor graph. The graph represents a…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-07 Yongsung Park , Florian Meyer , Peter Gerstoft

The analysis of GPS trajectories is a well-studied problem in Urban Computing and has been used to track people. Analyzing people mobility and identifying the transportation mode used by them is essential for cities that want to reduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-20 I. Cardoso-Pereira , J. B. Borges , P. H. Barros , A. F. Loureiro , O. A. Rosso , H. S. Ramos

We focus on an interpolation method referred to Bayesian reconstruction in this paper. Whereas in standard interpolation methods missing data are interpolated deterministically, in Bayesian reconstruction, missing data are interpolated…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-27 Shun Kataoka , Muneki Yasuda , Kazuyuki Tanaka

While benefiting people's daily life in so many ways, smartphones and their location-based services are generating massive mobile device location data that has great potential to help us understand travel demand patterns and make…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Chenfeng Xiong , Aref Darzi , Yixuan Pan , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

With people constantly migrating to different urban areas, our mobility needs for work, services and leisure are transforming rapidly. The changing urban demographics pose several challenges for the efficient management of transit services.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-08 Trivik Verma , Mikhail Sirenko , Itto Kornecki , Scott Cunningham , Nuno AM Araújo

The paper introduces a Bayesian estimation method for quantile regression in univariate ordinal models. Two algorithms are presented that utilize the latent variable inferential framework of Albert and Chib (1993) and the normal-exponential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-30 Mohammad Arshad Rahman

We consider the problem of calibration and uncertainty analysis for activity-based transportation simulators. Activity-Based Models (ABMs) rely on statistical modeling of individual travelers' behavior to predict higher-order travel…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Joshua Auld , Vadim Sokolov