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相关论文: A Bayesian Nonparametric Causal Model for Regressi…

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This paper develops a performant Bayesian approach to conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), an increasingly prevalent form of quasi-experiment that facilitates causal inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Rafael Alcantara , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert F. Lopes

The boundary discontinuity (BD) design is a non-experimental method for identifying causal effects that exploits a thresholding rule based on a bivariate score and a boundary curve. This widely used method generalizes the univariate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik , Ruiqi Rae Yu

Causal effect estimation is a critical task in statistical learning that aims to find the causal effect on subjects by identifying causal links between a number of predictor (or, explanatory) variables and the outcome of a treatment. In a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Spurred on by recent successes in causal inference competitions, Bayesian nonparametric (and high-dimensional) methods have recently seen increased attention in the causal inference literature. In this paper, we present a comprehensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Antonio R. Linero , Joseph L. Antonelli

Causal discovery from data affected by latent confounders is an important and difficult challenge. Causal functional model-based approaches have not been used to present variables whose relationships are affected by latent confounders,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-05 Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

I propose a novel argument to identify economically interpretable intertemporal treatment effects in dynamic regression discontinuity designs (RDDs). Specifically, I develop a dynamic potential outcomes model and reformulate two assumptions…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-28 Francesco Ruggieri

Treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are often estimated using local regression methods. \cite{Hahn:01} demonstrated that the identification of the average treatment effect at the cutoff in RDDs relies on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-30 Weiwei Jiang , Rong J. B. Zhu

Outcome-dependent sampling designs are common in many different scientific fields including epidemiology, ecology, and economics. As with all observational studies, such designs often suffer from unmeasured confounding, which generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael C. Sachs , Arvid Sjölander

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Distributional robustness is a central goal of prediction algorithms due to the prevalent distribution shifts in real-world data. The prediction model aims to minimize the worst-case risk among a class of distributions, a.k.a., an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Marin Šola , Peter Bühlmann , Xinwei Shen

Univariate or multivariate ordinal responses are often assumed to arise from a latent continuous parametric distribution, with covariate effects which enter linearly. We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-21 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

In a meta-analysis, it is important to specify a model that adequately describes the effect-size distribution of the underlying population of studies. The conventional normal fixed-effect and normal random-effects models assume a normal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-21 George Karabatsos , Elizabeth Talbott , Stephen G. Walker

Mendelian randomization (MR) is widely used to uncover causal relationships in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, most existing MR methods presuppose linear causality, risking bias when the true relationships are nonlinear,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Xinpei Wang , Tao Huang , Jinzhu Jia

Regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are a common quasi-experiment in economics and statistics. The most popular methodologies for analyzing RDDs utilize continuity-based assumptions and local polynomial regression, but recent works have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Zach Branson , Fabrizia Mealli

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-29 Ibtihal Ferwana , Suyoung Park , Ting-Yi Wu , Lav R. Varshney

This article provides an introduction to the Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, and its application to empirical research in the medical sciences. While the main focus of this article is on causal interpretation, key concepts of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rocio Titiunik

RDD (Regression discontinuity design) is a widely used framework for identifying and estimating causal effects at the cutoff of a single running variable. In practice, however, decision-making often involves multiple thresholds and…

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager