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In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Network growth processes can be understood as generative models of the structure and history of complex networks. This point of view naturally leads to the problem of network archaeology: reconstructing all the past states of a network from…

This paper analyzes hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems using techniques from high-dimensional statistics. Our analysis leverages a property of hierarchical Bayesian regularizers that we call approximate decomposability to obtain…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-09 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Comparing paleoclimate time series is complicated by a variety of typical features, including irregular sampling, age model uncertainty (e.g., errors due to interpolation between radiocarbon sampling points) and time uncertainty…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-29 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner

We develop and apply a learning framework for parameter estimation in initial value problems that are assessed only indirectly via aggregate data such as sample means and/or standard deviations. Our comprehensive framework follows Bayesian…

In this work, we propose a Bayesian thinning algorithm for recovering weighted point source functions in the heat equation from boundary flux observations. The major challenge in the classical Bayesian framework lies in constructing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Zhiliang Deng , Chen Li , Xiaomei Yang

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

Multiscale modeling is a systematic approach to describe the behavior of complex systems by coupling models from different scales. The approach has been demonstrated to be very effective in areas of science as diverse as materials science,…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Ting Wang , Kenneth W. Leiter , Petr Plechac , Jaroslaw Knap

Comparative and evolutive ecologists are interested in the distribution of quantitative traits among related species. The classical framework for these distributions consists of a random process running along the branches of a phylogenetic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-24 Paul Bastide , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

Introduction : Mass spectrometry approaches are very attractive to detect protein panels in a sensitive and high speed way. MS can be coupled to many proteomic separation techniques. However, controlling technological variability on these…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2012-02-23 Pierre Grangeat , Pascal Szacherski , Laurent Gerfault , Jean-François Giovannelli

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu

A frequent challenge encountered with compositional ecological data is how to interpret and model data with a high proportion of zeros and $N$'s. Such data frequently occur in ecological applications where counts of species are collected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-04 James Sweeney , John Haslett , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Michael Fop , Andrew C. Parnell

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Phylodynamics focuses on the problem of reconstructing past population size dynamics from current genetic samples taken from the population of interest. This technique has been extensively used in many areas of biology, but is particularly…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-23 Shiwei Lan , Julia A. Palacios , Michael Karcher , Vladimir N. Minin , Babak Shahbaba

Multilevel compositional data are data that are repeatedly measured or clustered within groups and are non-negative and sum to a constant value. These data arise in various settings, such as intensive, longitudinal studies using ecological…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-21 Flora Le , Tyman E. Stanford , Dorothea Dumuid , Joshua F. Wiley

Phylogenetics, the inference of evolutionary trees from molecular sequence data such as DNA, is an enterprise that yields valuable evolutionary understanding of many biological systems. Bayesian phylogenetic algorithms, which approximate a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-10-27 Vu Dinh , Aaron E. Darling , Frederick A. Matsen

Molecular phylogenetic and phylogeographic reconstructions generally assume time-homogeneous substitution processes. Motivated by computational convenience, this assumption sacrifices biological realism and offers little opportunity to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-09-13 Filip Bielejec , Philippe Lemey , Guy Baele , Andrew Rambaut , Marc A Suchard

Scientific studies in many areas of biology routinely employ evolutionary analyses based on the probabilistic inference of phylogenetic trees from molecular sequence data. Evolutionary processes that act at the molecular level are highly…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-12-10 Mandev S. Gill , Guy Baele , Marc A. Suchard , Philippe Lemey

A model-independent or non-parametric approach for modeling a database has been widely used in cosmology. In these scenarios, the data has been used directly to reconstruct an underlying function. In this work, we introduce a novel…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-19 Ahmad Mehrabi