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Evidence synthesis models that combine multiple datasets of varying design, to estimate quantities that cannot be directly observed, require the formulation of complex probabilistic models that can be expressed as graphical models. An…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-14 Anne M. Presanis , David Ohlssen , Kai Cui , Magdalena Rosinska , Daniela De Angelis

We consider the problem of learning the underlying causal structure among a set of variables, which are assumed to follow a Bayesian network or, more specifically, a linear recursive structural equation model (SEM) with the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-05 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yang Ni

Quantifying causal effects of exposures on outcomes, such as a treatment and a disease respectively, is a crucial issue in medical science for the administration of effective therapies. Importantly, any related causal analysis should…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Federico Castelletti , Laura Ferrini

Background: There is increasing interest in approaches for analyzing the effect of exposure mixtures on health. A key issue is how to simultaneously analyze often highly collinear components of the mixture, which can create problems such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Thomas F. Webster , Marc G. Weisskopf

Assuming a directed acyclic graph (DAG) that represents prior knowledge of causal relationships between variables is a common starting point for cause-effect estimation. Existing literature typically invokes hypothetical domain expert…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Kirtan Padh , Zhufeng Li , Cecilia Casolo , Niki Kilbertus

Bayesian causal discovery offers the power to quantify epistemic uncertainties among a broad range of structurally diverse causal theories potentially explaining the data, represented in forms of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-30 Nu Hoang , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models, also called Bayesian networks, impose conditional independence constraints on a multivariate probability distribution, and are widely used in probabilistic reasoning, machine learning and causal…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Evidence synthesis models combine multiple data sources to estimate latent quantities of interest, enabling reliable inference on parameters that are difficult to measure directly. However, shared parameters across data sources can induce…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Fuming Yang , David J. Nott , Anne M. Presanis

Background: Diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) studies, like etiological studies, are susceptible to various biases including reference standard error bias, partial verification bias, spectrum effect, confounding, and bias from misassumption of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Yang Lu , Nandini Dendukuri

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are central to uncovering causal structure in complex systems, yet learning a single DAG from data is often challenging: model uncertainty, finite samples, and a combinatorially large search space frequently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yunan Wu , Yue Wang , Chunlin Li , Chenglong Ye

A Bayesian Network is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) on a set of $n$ random variables (the vertices); a Bayesian Network Distribution (BND) is a probability distribution on the random variables that is Markovian on the graph. A finite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Spencer L. Gordon , Bijan Mazaheri , Yuval Rabani , Leonard J. Schulman

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) constitute a central modeling tool to enable principled reasoning about cause-effect interactions in complex systems. However, since the causal structure underlying a group of variables is often unknown and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Gonzalo Mateos , Samuel Rey , Hamed Ajorlou , Mariano Tepper

Graphical models based on Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are widely used to answer causal questions across a variety of scientific and social disciplines. However, observational data alone cannot distinguish in general between DAGs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-03 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

Bayesian networks represent relations between variables using a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Learning the DAG is an NP-hard problem and exact learning algorithms are feasible only for small sets of variables. We propose two scalable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Pierre Gillot , Pekka Parviainen

Evidence-based knowledge of infectious disease burden, including prevalence, incidence, severity and transmission, in different population strata and locations, and possibly in real time, is crucial to the planning and evaluation of public…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Daniela De Angelis , Anne M. Presanis

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models widely employed to understand dependencies in high dimensional data, and even to facilitate causal discovery. Learning the underlying network structure, which is encoded as a directed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Jack Kuipers , Polina Suter , Giusi Moffa

Estimating the structure of Bayesian networks as directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) from observational data is a fundamental challenge, particularly in causal discovery. Bayesian approaches excel by quantifying uncertainty and addressing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Edwin V. Bonilla , Pantelis Elinas , He Zhao , Maurizio Filippone , Vassili Kitsios , Terry O'Kane

In this article, we propose a new hypothesis testing method for directed acyclic graph (DAG). While there is a rich class of DAG estimation methods, there is a relative paucity of DAG inference solutions. Moreover, the existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Chengchun Shi , Yunzhe Zhou , Lexin Li

Directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models are a powerful tool for representing causal relationships among jointly distributed random variables, especially concerning data from across different experimental settings. However, it is not always…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Francisco Madaleno , Pratik Misra , Alex Markham

A structural equation model (SEM) is an effective framework to reason over causal relationships represented via a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Recent advances have enabled effective maximum-likelihood point estimation of DAGs from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Chris Cundy , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon
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