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Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

In many applications involving point pattern data, the Poisson process assumption is unrealistic, with the data exhibiting a more regular spread. Such a repulsion between events is exhibited by trees for example, because of competition for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-07 Vinayak Rao , Ryan P. Adams , David B. Dunson

The pair correlation function is a fundamental spatial point process characteristic that, given the intensity function, determines second order moments of the point process. Non-parametric estimation of the pair correlation function is a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Abdollah Jalilian , Yongtao Guan , Rasmus Waagepetersen

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

A reaction--diffusion replicator equation is studied. A novel method to apply the principle of global regulation is used to write down the model with explicit spatial structure. Properties of stationary solutions together with their…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-08-28 Artem S. Novozhilov , Vladimir P. Posvyanskii , Alexander S. Bratus

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

A general principle is advanced allowing the classification of nonunique solutions to nonlinear evolution equations, corresponding to different spatio-temporal patterns. This is done by defining the probability distribution of patterns,…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

This paper proposes a new approach to estimating the distribution of a response variable conditioned on observing some factors. The proposed approach possesses desirable properties of flexibility, interpretability, tractability and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-16 Cheng Peng , Stanislav Uryasev

The martingale comparison method is extended to derive comparison results for path-independent functions for general semimartingales. Our approach allows to dismiss with the Markovian assumption on one of the processes made in previous…

概率论 · 数学 2019-08-28 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

Determinantal point process have recently been used as models in machine learning and this has raised questions regarding the characterizations of conditional independence. In this paper we investigate characterizations of conditional…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-01 Tvrtko Tadić

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

In this article, recent results about point processes are used in sampling theory. Precisely, we define and study a new class of sampling designs: determinantal sampling designs. The law of such designs is known, and there exists a simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-27 Vincent Loonis , Xavier Mary

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are point process models that naturally encode diversity between the points of a given realization, through a positive definite kernel $K$. DPPs possess desirable properties, such as exact sampling or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-07 Rémi Bardenet , Michalis K. Titsias

The Determinantal Point Process (DPP) is a parameterized model for multivariate binary variables, characterized by a correlation kernel matrix. This paper proposes a closed form estimator of this kernel, which is particularly easy to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-21 Christian Gouriéroux , Yang Lu

We study the informational content of factor structures in discrete triangular systems. Factor structures have been employed in a variety of settings in cross sectional and panel data models, and in this paper we formally quantify their…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-25 Shakeeb Khan , Arnaud Maurel , Yichong Zhang

We show that it is possible to understand and identify a decision maker's subjective causal judgements by observing her preferences over interventions. Following Pearl [2000], we represent causality using causal models (also called…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) offer a powerful approach to modeling diversity in many applications where the goal is to select a diverse subset. We study the problem of learning the parameters (the kernel matrix) of a DPP from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-10 Boqing Gong , Wei-lun Chao , Kristen Grauman , Fei Sha

This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-04 M. N. M. van Lieshout

This paper formalizes a widely used dynamical class--replicator-mutator dynamics and Price-style selection-and-transmission--and makes explicit the modeling choices (scale, atomic unit, interaction topology, transmission kernel) that…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-13 Murad Farzulla