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We introduce a set of resampling-based methods for quantifying uncertainty and statistical precision of evaluation metrics in multilingual and/or multitask NLP benchmarks. We show how experimental variation in performance scores arises from…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Jonne Sälevä , Duygu Ataman , Constantine Lignos

We investigate which quantum states can serve as universal resources for approximate and stochastic measurement-based quantum computation, in the sense that any quantum state can be generated from a given resource by means of single-qubit…

量子物理 · 物理学 2010-05-11 C. E. Mora , M. Piani , A. Miyake , M. Van den Nest , W. Dür , H. J. Briegel

This paper deals with the scenario approach to robust optimization. This relies on a random sampling of the possibly infinite number of constraints induced by uncertainties in the parameters of an optimization problem. Solving the resulting…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-08 Fabien Lauer

Mathematical modelling is at the core of metrology as it transforms raw measured data into useful measurement results. A model captures the relationship between the measurand and all relevant quantities on which the measurand depends, and…

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

While quantum speed-up in solving certain decision problems by a fault-tolerant universal quantum computer has been promised, a timely research interest includes how far one can reduce the resource requirement to demonstrate a provable…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-01-01 Jacob Miller , Stephen Sanders , Akimasa Miyake

In the presence of model risk, it is well-established to replace classical expected values by worst-case expectations over all models within a fixed radius from a given reference model. This is the "robustness" approach. We show that…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-10-07 Thomas Kruse , Judith C. Schneider , Nikolaus Schweizer

The outcomes of a series of measurements, made on a quantum system, form a sequence of random events which occur in a particular order. The system, together with a meter or meters, can be seen as following the paths of a stochastic network…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-08-01 D. Sokolovski

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

Most analyses of randomised trials with incomplete outcomes make untestable assumptions and should therefore be subjected to sensitivity analyses. However, methods for sensitivity analyses are not widely used. We propose a mean score…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Ian R. White , James Carpenter , Nicholas J. Horton

It is increasingly common to evaluate the same coreference resolution (CR) model on multiple datasets. Do these multi-dataset evaluations allow us to draw meaningful conclusions about model generalization? Or, do they rather reflect the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Ian Porada , Alexandra Olteanu , Kaheer Suleman , Adam Trischler , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

Quantum resource theories (QRTs) provide a unified framework to analyze quantum properties as resources for achieving advantages in quantum information processing. The generalized robustness and the weight of resource have been gaining…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-04-24 Kohdai Kuroiwa , Ryuji Takagi , Gerardo Adesso , Hayata Yamasaki

In statistical analysis, many classic results require the assumption that models have finite mean or variance, including the most standard versions of the laws of large numbers and the central limit theorems. Such an assumption may not be…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-10-28 Yuyu Chen , Ruodu Wang

The peculiar uncertainty or randomness of quantum measurements stems from coherence, whose information-theoretic characterization is currently under investigation. Under the resource theory of coherence, it is interesting to investigate…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-10-25 Xiao Yuan , Qi Zhao , Davide Girolami , Xiongfeng Ma

We investigate the role of inefficiency in quantum measurements in the quantum-to-classical transition, and consistently observe the quantum-to-classical transition by coarsening the references of the measurements (e.g. when and where to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-01-08 Hyunseok Jeong , Youngrong Lim , M. S. Kim

In this paper the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for the assessment of machine learning models are investigated. The prediction quality of a machine learning model is evaluated model-independent based on a cross-validation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Thomas Most , Lars Gräning , Sebastian Wolff

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In regression with random design, we study the problem of selecting a model that performs well for out-of-sample prediction. We do not assume that any of the candidate models under consideration are correct. Our analysis is based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-10-24 Hannes Leeb

Recently proposed generative models for discrete data, such as Masked Diffusion Models (MDMs), exploit conditional independence approximations to reduce the computational cost of popular Auto-Regressive Models (ARMs), at the price of some…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Hugo Lavenant , Giacomo Zanella
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